The Scoop

By Dalton Del Don

Is the economy really this bad, or are baseball GMs finally valuing defense properly? Either way, it’s dumbfounding Adam Dunn and Bobby Abreu can’t find work. It’s not like either is asking for some exorbitant contract like Manny Ramirez (who should still be targeted more heavily than he has been). Dunn actually has the highest OPS of any active outfielder less than 32 years old. I get the sneaking suspicion it has more to do with ineptitude than anything, since Jon Garland was just given what essentially amounted to a one-year, $9 million deal.

Looking over some rankings, it’s safe to say I value Jed Lowrie higher than most. Sure, he only hit two homers over 260 at-bats last season, but he played with a small fracture in his wrist since May, which seemingly limited his power. Even playing through the injury, he led all major league shortstops in RBI over a three-month period, as batting in the Red Sox’s lineup has its benefits. So does calling Fenway Park home. He’s not going to be a big help in homers or steals, but there’s a pretty big drop after the top 11 shortstops. I’d take Lowrie over Mike Aviles.

Normally I like securing one of the top tier catchers, but this is a year when it’s fine to wait on the position. Not only is it legitimately deeper than usual, but even guys like Jarrod Saltalamacchia, Kelly Shoppach and Jeff Clement will go undrafted in formats that start just one backstop. There will be plenty of upside readily available off the waiver wire. And others like Chris Iannetta, Mike Napoli and Pablo Sandoval (if eligible) are ready to break out.

Ian Stewart is someone to pay close attention to during spring training. He’ll be eligible at second base in some leagues, so if he can secure the starting left field job, he’ll be a major asset. Stewart strikes out far too often, but before a dreadful final month last season (.139/.184/.250), he had hit .338 during July and August. Remember, this is someone who posted a .979 OPS in Triple-A as a 23-year-old.

How cool is the addition of H-O-R-S-E to the NBA All-Star weekend? Long overdue decision there.

Especially in NL-only formats, I’m targeting Ryan Church this year. He won’t overwhelm in the power/speed departments, but he was batting .310 with nine homers, 31 RBI and 33 runs scored over the first 46 games before a second concussion essentially ruined the rest of his season last year. The Mets’ new stadium sounds as if it’ll be much friendlier to pitchers, but Church is locked in as the team’s starting right fielder and will be hitting in a potent lineup.

Josh Beckett has only reached 180 innings twice during his career, but he’s behind only Tim Lincecum and Johan Santana on my SP board. He’s finished with a WHIP of 1.19 or lower in three of the past four years, and it’s not like his durability is that bad, averaging 190 innings over the past four seasons. Last year’s 5.06:1 K:BB ratio ranked third best in all of baseball, and he obviously has the lineup support to post big win totals. Moreover, Beckett’s 3.35 xFIP last season was behind only Roy Halladay (3.23), meaning his 4.03 ERA was extremely unlucky and points to a possible Cy Young campaign in 2009 if he can manage to stay healthy.

I’m not sure what’s more annoying, the sure to be constant steroid coverage now that Alex Rodriguez’s name is involved, or ARod expecting us to congratulate him for coming clean AFTER he was caught. I’m not judging – if anything, I’m glad he’s been thumbed if only to further take the spotlight off Barry Bonds, and his interview with Peter Gammons was interesting enough the first 28 times I heard it, but this subject is as tiresome as it gets.

So I’ve been told I look like Jay Cutler before, which makes sense considering we are both good looking and all. But it was taken to a new level Monday when I was approached at Honolulu’s airport the day after the Pro Bowl by a sheepish and intimidated Broncos fan asking for my autograph. At first I thought he was just a big fan of my writing, but when he asked if I were Cutler, I’m pretty sure he thought I was just lying when I said no. Sorry Jay, next time I’ll be sure to kindly oblige so I’m not sullying your name.


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22 responses to “The Scoop”

  1. Wright, Most the Time Says Avatar
    Wright, Most the Time Says

    You may be giving yourself too much credit for a Cutler look alike although you do have both his physique and muscle build.

    I am still in the football mode Big D that is why I haven’t posted in baseball remarks until now. The transistion from football to baseball takes me some time.

  2. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    ARod has always been a tool, regardless of his roid usage. But the guy can rake.

    I don’t need to exaggerate my Cutler likeness when strangers are approaching me for autographs!

  3. Stefan Avatar
    Stefan

    It is a little unnerving how much you look like Jay Cutler, at the next Raider game you better be able to hit me on a 40 yard post pattern in the parking lot!

    A-Rod is a tool and his interview was almost unbearable to watch. I find it interesting how the majority of the steroid usage is being traced back to hitters, as opposed to pitchers, who would benefit the most from the drug. I think almost everyone in baseball’s past (70’s) and present was/is on some type of steroid, 162 games is a long season.

    Is there a better band than the Kings of Leon making music these days?

  4. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Not only will I hit you up on a post pattern, I won’t even charge you a signature.

    You’re preaching to the choir about pitchers and steroids. I’m pretty sure somewhere around 75 percent of the players who have been caught are hurlers. But no one seems to talk about this. And I have no clue why not.

    Hey, I had Kings of Leon on the coveted RotoScoop year-end list! Top-5.

  5. Donald Trump Avatar
    Donald Trump

    Personally I was disappointed in the job Gammons did in the interview. He is such a cupcake.
    PG: So you did roids in 01, 02, 03?
    AR: approximately.
    Dude, you have to delve into that comment some more.

    Also, when arod is saying that he didn’t know what he was taking, and that gnc was selling things that would tip the test, Gammons should have pounced all over that. The stuff that showed up the the test is some high end designer stuff. Gammons should have asked if he was getting injected, merely because it sounds much worse to admit being injected than maybe just popping gnc pills. Lastly, he should have asked arod if he has taken hgh. Not that arod would admit it, but just to have it on the record.

    Yeah, the subject is tired, but I can’t stand a-roid, a-fraud, whatever.

    When are you going to discuss the RS league?

  6. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    I agree about Gammons – and give me a break ARod didn’t know what he was taking. I’ll start mentioning the RotoScoop league soon.

  7. Dreamweapon Avatar
    Dreamweapon

    Does this mean Randy Marsh thinks you might be OK someday?

  8. Nat Avatar
    Nat

    This post unjinxed Abreu and Dunn. Nice work!

    Agreed on Lowrie, HORSE, catchers, and Beckett.

    Also… random but since if anyone wants the presale password for the Kings of Leon show in April in Boston… it’s “Molly”. Tickets are on sale tomorrow.

  9. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Seriously, I didn’t realize GMs read my material. Abreu was a steal. Nats are way too crowded at OF and 1B now.

    Thanks for the password – I need one for California!

  10. Wright, Most the Time Says Avatar
    Wright, Most the Time Says

    I agree with Mr. Trump. Any other west coast player would have been hammered by Gammons. East coast bias by ESPN makes Boston and New York look like the best thing since sliced bread.

  11. Wright, Most the Time Says Avatar
    Wright, Most the Time Says

    Changing the subject, I am pretty pumped about the Giants pitching staff this year. Lincecum, Cain, Johnson, Zito, Sanchez, Lowry damn that’s a solid rotation. If Zito can pull his head out, I think the Giants have one of the best rotations in the West if not the league. If Zito loses 3 of his first 4 games I would replace him with Lowry in the first half. Everyone knows that Zito has always been a second half performer.
    The Giant’s bullpen is also looking good. Wilson has proved himself and I feel confident in the setup and reliever personnel.

  12. Dreamweapon Avatar
    Dreamweapon

    Had they signed Dunn (or if they somehow get Ramirez), they can probably win that division. Since taking Ramirez would also badly damage one of the two other plausible contenders in the process, they really should think about it. LA already lost Lowe (severely underrated in real-life) and Saito. AZ lost Dunn and the O-dawg, and Garland is going to get lit up left and right up in the mountains. Both of them are there for the taking. Hell, maybe they don’t even need a bat, although that lineup is pretty limp as it is…. Zito is baked, though, you can give up that part of the dream.

  13. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    SF def. needs a bat. I still can’t see them finishing better than third. They should trade for Nick Johnson, who I’m sure can be had for next to nothing now.

  14. Kritter Avatar
    Kritter

    Should have known Abreu would go to the damn Halos as much as he’s been on my fantasy teams of late, oh well, he won’t be there this year. Look forward to the league, keep me posted, Im trying to pay attention, but I’ve been busy…

  15. Keith Avatar
    Keith

    N.Johnson to the Giants makes so much sense it’s absurd (at his salary, he essentially has a negative trade value…and I really need Dunn to get 1B eligibility in my dynasty league!). I know you got Drew as your #5 SS – what kind of line do you expect from him? A lot of people seem to be calling for a Votto break out, and you’ve even got him ranked ahead of Davis – 25HR’s and .290?

    Who has the better 2009 season? Who has the better career? Price, Kershaw, Gallardo, Cueto.

    I’m fired up for some ball – even though I really wish the A’s could have added another piece considering the prices in this economy.

  16.  Avatar
    Anonymous

    Keith — A’s fan, huh? Know anything about Dallas Braden? I’m in some deep deep dynasty leagues and some say the kid might be poised for a breakout, while he’s not on other people’s radar at all.

    Anything there? Any insight?

  17. The Jewru Avatar
    The Jewru

    Adam Dunn was a steal at 20 mill for 2 years. It just goes to show how OBP is still not viewed the same as batting average.

    Keith, Short term I like Gallardo for this year. Price for next and Kershaw long term if that makes any sense.

    Just when you thought Arod couldn’t possibly become more unlikeable.

    Dalton I agree big time on Beckett.

  18. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Keith – .300 – 25 – 90 – 90 – 8 seems possible for S. Drew.

    Sounds about right for Votto.

    For 2009, give me Gallardo. For their career, I’ll take Kershaw.

  19. Keith Avatar
    Keith

    I like it. I definitely think Gallardo is tops for 09, but I’m having a hard time settling for long-term value. Thanks for the input.

    Two other guys I’m curious about: Hart and McLouth.
    Hart’s power dropped in the 2nd half, but looked like he was kind of unlucky (low HR/FB rate). Anyone think he’s ever going to blow up? I was pretty high on him last year, but less confident now. I like McLouth because he has much better patience, and those BB’s help with the stolen base opportunities. I’m not sure how much more to expect from a power standpoint, but I think his other skills look sustainable, and he’s young enough there could be upticks in some of the rate stats.

    I have a weird feeling that Blalock might have a big year.

  20. A2K Avatar
    A2K

    Ninety-SIX.

  21. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    I pretty much agree with exactly what you said regarding Hart and McLouth Keith. I’m less bullish on Hart now than I was before last season, but I do still like him. He’s just a little too big physically to really be a big steals guy long-term. And he can look absolutely lost at the plate at times. But I could see him eventually reaching 30 homers.

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