Yankees to make playoffs

By Dalton Del Don – Senior Writer

While everyone is pretty much counting out New York, it’s hard to imagine this team not making a strong run over the final four months of the season. Without a doubt, they’ve played poor baseball through eight weeks, and 12.5 games is a deep enough hole to probably discount any chance of overtaking Boston in the AL East. If that’s not bad enough, seven teams are currently ahead of them in the wild card race, so it’s easy to see why many foresee an October sans the Yankees.

However, the task may not be as difficult as it seems. A closer look at the teams ahead in the standings reveals a couple of frauds (Orioles, Mariners), a duo that’s getting ravaged by injuries (Blue Jays, Athletics) and two others that are frankly inferior in talent (Twins, White Sox). Which leaves us with the wild card leading Tigers, who are up 7.5 games as of now. It’s a solid team, but one with an imploding bullpen, injury-prone key players (Carlos Guillen/Gary Sheffield) and an aging vet playing like Babe Ruth (Magglio Ordonez).

But enough about the other teams, because when New York starts playing in accordance with their talent that suits up, it won’t matter. Entering the season, the Yankees looked like one of the three best teams in baseball, with the Red Sox and Mets also in the picture. Not enough has changed in my mind to drastically alter that viewpoint. In one-run games this year, the Yankees are 3-10, so expect that to start evening out soon. Of the top-five teams with the best on-base percentages this year, four of them have a top-five record in baseball. And then there are the Yankees, whose .353 OBP ranks third best, and yet their record doesn’t correlate like the others.

So it’s pitching that’s been the culprit. A 4.71 team ERA is ugly, but a starting rotation of Roger Clemens, Andy Pettitte, Mike Mussina, Chien-Ming Wang and some scrub (eventually Phil Hughes?) not only form a solid staff, but one of the better rotations in the AL. The bullpen has problems, but Mariano Rivera is still there for the ninth. Combine that with one of the most dangerous lineups in the game, and this team still looks like one of the best in the league. I don’t like the Yankees, and in fact, I hope they finish in last place, but people should not be so quick to assume their demise.


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3 responses to “Yankees to make playoffs”

  1. Lister Avatar
    Lister

    You are better off not counting anyone out at this point, but these Yankees do not seem to my eyes to have enough bullets in the gun to make the big surge they’d need to even contend for the wild card.

    Had they not lost Giambi and Hughes, I might be singing a different tune. When those two went down (and I’ve heard Hughes is most likely going to be held out for the year due to a Grade 3 Strain, and Giambi until August most likely), I jumped on the Yankees don’t have it this year bandwagon.

    That bullpen is more likely to “implode” than the Tigers. Check out how many innings dudes are throwing (per Torre usual).

  2. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Age and injuries are no doubt a concern. Not only the two you mentioned, but Mussina’s K rate is so bad, I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s hiding an injury as well. Pettitte is always good for at least one DL-stint, and who knows how serious Clemens’ “groin fatigue” is. It’s a team with many flaws, no doubt, but I still see them sneaking into the playoffs over a mediocre group of second tier AL teams.

  3. Cole Avatar
    Cole

    The bullpen is bad. But I think that they will make a run. They’ll at least be in the WC picture into September.

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