The New Rankings

By Robby Wellington – Staff Writer

With four weeks in the books, preseason ranks can be thrown out, as we have to constantly readjust our perceptions of players’ values. Here are my top 60 players from here on out, listed in a draft format. Standard scoring (1 point per 10 yards rushing/receiving, 1 per 20 passing, 6 per rushing/receiving TDs, 4 per passing TDs and .5 points per reception) with 2 starting WRs and RBs and a flex player.

Round One

1 – LaDanian Tomlinson
2 – Larry Johnson
3 – Brian Westbrook
4 – Clinton Portis
5 – Shaun Alexander
6 – Tatum Bell
7 – Tiki Barber
8 – Ronnie Brown
9 – Steven Jackson
10 – Rudi Johnson
11 – Chester Taylor
12 – Willis McGahee

The top three is down to the top two, and Shaun Alexander’s foot remains a concern, divine intervention be damned. Speaking of injury concerns, Portis has come back with a vengeance and looks awesome. It would not be a surprise to see Tatum Bell post the best numbers of any running back from here on out, nor would it be surprising to see him have a bad game and go back into a timeshare with Mike Bell. Willis McGahee has a great playoff schedule and with the Bills and JP Losman looking decent, moves into the top round.

Round Two

13 – Willie Parker
14 – Julius Jones
15 – Peyton Manning
16 – Kevin Jones
17 – Steve Smith
18 – Torry Holt
19 – Laurence Maroney
20 – Roy Williams
21 – Andre Johnson
22 – Frank Gore
23 – Edgerrin James
24 – Marvin Harrison

Peyton Manning and the Colts’ offense is going to have a huge season, thanks to their weakened defense. Holt and Smith are the clear-cut top two receivers in my opinion, and there is a big drop off after 18, although Maroney’s upside is undeniable. Roy Williams and Andre Johnson look to have reached the elite tier of wideouts. Edgerrin James may still be overvalued as a late second round pick, especially with Leinart taking the reigns.

Round Three

25 – Reggie Wayne
26 – Donald Driver
27 – Lamont Jordan
28 – Joseph Addai
29 – Cadillac Williams
30 – Chad Johnson
31 – Thomas Jones
32 – Terrell Owens
33 – Larry Fitzgerald
34 – Anquan Boldin
35 – Warrick Dunn
36 – Chris Chambers

Lamont Jordan and Cadillac Williams look to be the two biggest first round busts. Don’t expect Chad Johnson to reach his usually lofty totals with Housh and Chris Henry around. I think that the Matt Leinart effect is going to cut into Boldin and Fitz’s production tremendously. MOVE THEM NOW!

Round Four

37 – Carson Palmer
38 – Reggie Bush
39 – Antonio Gates
40 – Plaxico Burress
41 – Santana Moss
42 – Fred Taylor
43 – DeShaun Foster
44 – Donovan McNabb
45 – TJ Houshmandzadeh
46 – Marques Colston (TE)
47 – Jamal Lewis
48 – Hines Ward

Carson Palmer has cemented himself as the second best (fantasy) quarterback in football, with Donovan McNabb close behind. Antonio Gates’ value has taken a huge hit thanks to Philip Rivers and the Chargers’ conservative offense. Marques Colston is available as a TE in Yahoo! leagues, which is, how do I put this, kind of a big deal. He may very well still be undervalued in your league.

Round Five

49 – Randy Moss
50 – Darrell Jackson
51 – Reuben Droughns
52 – Donte Stallworth
53 – Antonio Bryant
54 – Muhsin Muhammad
55 – Jeremy Shockey
56 – Deuce McAllister
57 – Terry Glenn
58 – Ahman Green
59 – Todd Heap
60 – Joey Galloway

What happened to Randy Moss? He really misses playing with an elite quarterback like, umm, Daunte Culpepper. Deuce McAllister has solidly outperformed Reggie Bush and would be a top 15 guy if Bush were to go down. Gradkowski to Galloway? I don’t think so.

Honorable Mention

Eli Manning
Joe Horn
Lee Evans
Dominic Rhodes
Corey Dillon
Deion Branch
LJ Smith
Marc Bulger
Tom Brady

Dalton Says: While I feel Robby did a fine job with these rankings, I’m here to offer some counterpoints…I wouldn’t go jumping off a bridge if I were a Fitzgerald/Boldin owner. The way I see it, the QB switch may be a good thing, as Kurt Warner was playing so poorly. While having a rookie QB throwing to your highly drafted receiver isn’t ideal (say goodbye to any fantasy value, Drew Bennett), Leinart is considered the most ready for an NFL offense. With their running game as bad as ever, he’ll be forced to throw 45-55 times a game, resulting in fine numbers from the best WR duo in the league…Laveranues Coles should at least be on the honorable mention list; in fact, I’d rather own him than Jamal Lewis, Reuben Droughns, Joey Galloway, and maybe even Randy Moss.


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20 responses to “The New Rankings”

  1. Robby Avatar
    Robby

    I left Coles off intentionally pending news of his injury but forgot to note that in the article. . .

  2. Craig Avatar
    Craig

    I agree with a lot of your rankings, although Westbrook’s inability to play MNF obviously dampers his lofty status for now.

  3. tv Avatar
    tv

    My team is definately indicative of these rankings.

    Alexander hurt, Johnson and Moss awful so far, Dillon losing his job in the near future and Addai and Williams not yet getting enough pt to start weekly.

    I traded Moss for Boldin and Moulds. Leinert cant be any worse than Warner…I mean really. I would definately have gone for Maroney earlier…I figured he would last antoher round and then couldnt pry him off the owner in my league that has him.

    At least I got McNabb. He has produced solidly and I predicted that Winslow if healthy would be a top TE and he sure looks like it so far. I just hope those knees dont kill his season.

  4. Robby Avatar
    Robby

    Ya, didn’t see that one coming w/ Westbrook.

  5. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    tv- The Alexander injury is killing me as well…Love the deal you pulled off for Boldin (no matter which Moss it was)…Too bad you missed the Maroney boat, dude is unstoppable; speaking of, McNabb looks like he could easily finish as the #1 ranked fantasy QB this year…I expect his huge start to continue.

  6. Keith Avatar
    Keith

    Westbrook is a 1st round talent, but is a lock to miss at least a couple games and be perpetually questionable. That being said, I’d much rather have him than my first round pick, Lamont Jordan (please start throwing him the ball!!!).

    On another note, I’ve got Bulger as my QB, and feel good about him as an every week starter, and anticipate him getting more and more comfortable in their new offense. I haven’t been carrying a backup, mainly because it’s a deep league (14 teams, 3 WR, 2RB, 1 flex), and I’ve been trying to hold onto RB/WR sleepers since having 6 solid offensive contributors gives a big leg up on the other guys. I will need a backup for week 7 when Bulger is on bye, and I’m trying to decide between Plummer, Losman and Leinart while there are some decent options on the wire. Plummer faces Cleveland, then has a mixed schedule after that. Losman has New England. Leinart scares me, but faces Oakland then Green Bay. My focus is on week 7, but I’d like to grab someone who should have solid value for the 2nd half of the season if I want to sit Bulger for some of his tougher matchups. Who of those 3 would you recommend? (Culpepper just got dropped, but I’m not going there).

    Also, Furrey’s for real, right? Kitna threw his way a lot on Sunday, and I think that Martz O is slowly going to keep getting better (and their D should make them have to air it out often).

  7. Robby Avatar
    Robby

    Keith, I’d grab Leinart as that Oakland/Green Bay matchups are excellent and he really should be a top 12-15 QB talent after a couple of weeks. After that you’ll want to find the backup with the best possible matchup in week 14 (when the Rams play the Bears) because aside from that, Bulger is going to start for you every week, if he doesn’t get hurt, a big if mind you.

    Furrey is looking like a top 30 WR talent.

  8. TV Avatar
    TV

    It was Randy Moss.

    Keith, I think Leinart is going to surprise and be a decent option. He certainly cant play any worse than C-Pepp or Warner. Only problem is that in the next few weeks he might look dreadful playing against some pretty good teams. I think he will improve a little bit every week though.

  9. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Keith – Although I expect Plummer to turn it around and be startable at some point this season, I too have to say go with Leinart. The offensive line is the biggest problem there (and Warner is basically the worst QB in the NFL for that), but Matty can’t avoid big numbers with those wideouts, that division and that defense. Especially against Oakland in Week 7.

    Why Oak won’t use L. Jordan’s skills in the passing game is becoming mind boggling…Marc Bulger is going to be fine (assuming his shoulder holds up). Obviously it took some time to change offensive philosophies, and their inability to turn red-zone possessions into touchdowns is a concern, but I still say Bulger finishes close to a top-5 fantasy QB this year. While it’s tough to recommend a guy named Furrey, Martz’ offense always produces 2 productive WRs, and it’s not like Mike Williams is going to cut into his PT. And like you said, that offense is only going to get better the more time they have to digest Martz’ playbook; plus their D will force them to throw it a ton, so ya, Furrey could def. be valuable.

  10. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    TV – Even better that it was Randy.

  11. Keith Avatar
    Keith

    Thanks guys…that’s where I was leaning too since I (hopefully) won’t need him until week 7…now I just have to figure out who to drop! I think I’m going to have to cut Michael Robinson, even though I’m sure he’ll score against the Raiders…that was the worst part about that Chiefs game; not even getting the chance to see how the 49ers might use him!

    TV, I don’t know how you made that Moss trade, that’s one heck of a haul! I don’t think I could give him away in my other league right now, especially with Brooks making it sound like he’s in no hurry to come back.

  12. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Ya Robinson is obviously expendable, just hope Gore doesn’t keep putting it on the carpet.

  13. Keith Avatar
    Keith

    OK, one more question here. Musa Smith looks like the real deal to me, and Jamal Lewis looks close to done. I know it’s pure speculation at this point, but do any of you guys think he gets the starting gig without Jamal getting hurt? (not that Jamal getting hurt is a stretch either)

    I drafted him, dropped him, picked him up, dropped him…is he worth picking up again when it means dropping one of these guys in a .5pt/reception league: Furrey, Chris Henry, D. Gabriel or Lendale White?

  14. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Jamal Lewis hasn’t broken a tackle since 2003. I didn’t like him going into this year, and now I’m completely writing him off. While I could easily see Balt giving Smith more carries in the future (and really, how could they not), it’d still likely take a Lewis injury for him to truly carry the load while not in a timeshare. That said, Lewis could easily go down at any moment, like you said. Basically, Smith has more upside than Lewis, even right now. He’s their future at running back, but I’d be surprised if Billick completely went away from his veteran fave Lewis.

    I can’t see dropping Henry or Gabriel at this point (assuming Henry returns to the field)….Same goes for White, as it looks like the Titans’ future is now (he was already incorporated into the offense last week) and C. Brown and T. Henry aren’t in the team’s future plans….That leaves Furrey, and while it’s hard to get excited about a converted safety, he’s being targeted as if he were a top-25 WR (31 looks through Week 4, good for 24th in the league).

    Basically, my advice is while Furrey could easily remain solid, you still have Henry and Gabriel as depth, and Musa Smith has more upside (altho for the time being, maybe more likely to put up a goose egg too). So I’d say go ahead and grab him and drop Furrey.

  15. tv Avatar
    tv

    Keith,

    It was actually proposed to me. He ended up asking for Jennings as well and I threw him in since I didnt see how I could pass it up. R. Moss and G. Jennings for A. Boldin and E. Moulds was the deal. Pretty happy with it but last weekend was frustrating. If Warner didnt suck so bad I would be 3 and 1 instead of 2 and 2 🙁

    I still think that Anderson starts before Smith should Lewis be officially done but I dont think that Baltimore will bench Lewis. It would take an injury. Baltimore wouldnt have thrown all that money Anderson’s way if they didnt plan on using him.

    A question for you guys…this week with Chad “I talk more than I score” Johnson on a bye should I start Dillon and Adaii with Alexander out or do I start Bryant, Boldin, Williamson and Moulds?

    I have a feeling Im going to be 2 and 3 after this week even if McNabb scores 40 again this week.

  16. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Is there a certain RB/WR combo you need to use? Ranking them for this week, I’d go 1-Boldin 2-Addai 3-Bryant 4-Dillon 5-Williamson…..But all of those starts are pretty good ones I think….Moulds also has bye, so count him out. Seriously, what’s up with Chad Johnson?

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  18. TV Avatar
    TV

    I have to start 1 rb and 3 wr and then we can use a flex. I forgot to mention Berrian who I think Im going to start.

    Right now Im leaning towards going with Adaii and Dillon and then Boldin, Berrian and Bryant.

    I really dont know what is going on with Johnson but I dont want to trade him now with his value so low unless I got a top 5 receiver in return and that probably isnt going to happen. It would be just my luck to trade him and then he would have that 150 y/r and 2 td performance 🙂

  19. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Those 2 RBs and 3 WRs sound good to me. They all have pretty solid matchups as well. Ya I agree, don’t go selling low on Chad Johnson now, he’ll pick it up.

  20. Denry Avatar

    I have got to agree. DeSean is the man! Although I don’t see his actual protdcuion growing by much, as every man and his dog will be ganging up on him. As for the two options suggested to strengthen the WRs – I wouldn’t entertain either of them. I expect the Eagles will draft somebody to fill the role of a big WR. I watched some tape the other day of somebody the Eagles could use – the name escapes me but he did seem like a very good fit. If I remember the name I’ll let you know.

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