Bet on It

By Dalton Del Don

Last week I went 5-7-1, losing one game I was up 31-3 at one point. Moreover, I tied my best bet (incidentally, the first tie ATS all season long, which kind of seems insane) despite the Texans leading 21-0, so yes, yet another frustrating week. I’m now 50-52-1 on the season and 4-2-1 with my best bet for the year. Here are my Week 8 darts:

Broncos +3 at RAVENS

Texans -3.5 at BILLS

Browns +13.5 at BEARS

Seahawks +10 at COWBOYS

RAMS +4 at Lions

49ers +13 at Colts

Dolphins +3.5 at JETS

GIANTS pick ‘em at Eagles

Jaguars +3 at TITANS

Raiders +17 at CHARGERS

Vikings +3 at PACKERS (Best Bet)

Panthers +10 at CARDINALS

Falcons +10 at SAINTS

Comments: Vegas is getting destroyed, and there will no doubt be a correction sooner or later, so I don’t feel great backing nine favorites this week. That said, it’s best to view every game singularly, and while following the trend seems like the wrong thing to do, I’m calling each game like I see it. No best bet jumped out at me this week, but I’ll go with the Packers. Green Bay’s pass protection issues are a concern, but Brett Favre has struggled outdoors, the Packers’ defense has been superior, and Aaron Rodgers has been the NFC’s MVP thus far.

17 Responses to “Bet on It”

  1. Pernell says:

    Hey Dalton, Should I start Pierre Thomas or Beanie Wells? How about John Carlson or Greg Olsen?

  2. Donald Trump says:

    This week we disagree on all buy three picks, which is probably an all time high for me (we agree on Jets, Giants, and St. Louis). It is a very interesting week.

  3. devinthedude says:

    the high point spread picks this week r tough, gotta disagree with you on two of them though Atl will cover this week, if only because you got on the Aint’s bandwagon this week, they could even lose outright, as emotionally tough as hit had to be for Miami last week, that win for the Saints has players saying “undefeated”. That said the other game I disagree with, but would never play since I never bet for or against them, is Da Raiders, they seem to flipflop against good defense and not so good defense, but one thing they have done pretty well this year is shut down the pass, what did Sanchize have 170 yards?? We will see if Sproles and LT can be contained remember their week one game?? Even though it goes against my system gotta take G-Men this week no one is talking about it but McNabb’s ribs gotta still be bothering him, he sucks but not this bad, really everyone is shocked the Giants lost to Cards please they are much improved defensively and went to Super Bowl and shouldve won, I read Sal Palanonio compare the Giants loss to Cards as in the same vein as Eagles loss to Oaktown, are people fucking retarded, limit Philly defensive and special teams plays and they get fucking trounced, Smoke one for your boy

  4. The Jewru says:

    Devin, speaking of retarded, why would sanchize need to throw for more than 170 yards when his team ran for close to 300 in a blowout win?

    However I too like the Falcons getting 10.

    Is Aaron Rodgers the next Steve Young? Wow he is good. GB bounces back big.

  5. RotoScoop says:

    Pernell – I’d go with Pierre Thomas and Greg Olsen.

  6. RotoScoop says:

    Donald – Ugh. I continue to hate the slates each week. Hardest year by far since I started doing this. Probably will have a bunch of dogs come through this week.

  7. RotoScoop says:

    devinthedude – The Raiders have given up 7.6 YPA this season, which ranks 22nd in the league. I wouldn’t call that good.

    That said, you’re probably right about them this week – SD is soft, and Norv Turner is a joke.

  8. RotoScoop says:

    The Jewru – Should be a good game. I’m still worried about Minny tho – they are for real much to my surprise. But ya, ARod is ridiculously good. SF took Alex Smith over him!

  9. The Jewru says:

    My man crush for Aaron coupled with my complete disdain for Favre surely could be clouding my judgement. God I hope Favre is a complete dud this weekend and gets booed out of Lambeau. piece of shat.

  10. Dreamweapon says:

    Rodgers is also classy. He’s been steadfast in refusing to blame his o-line for the hits he’s been taking, and quick to take on the blame himself for holding the ball too long. Don’t get me wrong, it’s definitely at least part the line’s fault, they’ve been playing like ass (can’t wait for baby-faced Tauscher to take his job back, even if he did step on and break my friend Jen’s foot at a party in Madison back in the day, haha), but it’s a mark of quality leadership that he refused to publicly blame them.

    Contrast that with the ever-increasingly asinine (and borderline sociopathic) behavior of the spoiled fairy across the river, who, not contented with having the adoration of an entire state, maneuvered and schemed for a defection to a divisional rival to be with his butt buddy Bevell (and mind you, this comes from a two-time UW alum). Of course Thompson couldn’t give him that, so he instead sends him for a five month stint in a city that most athletes would kill to play in. Then, following this short layover, he ends up in Minnesota sucking Bevell’s cock like old times, free from the oppressive love of Packer fans and free from the horrors of having to negotiate Manhattan traffic with a deer on the hood of his F-350. In short, he got every fucking thing he wanted, and still this asshole spouts off with his barbs at us in Wisconsin. What the fuck did we DO to this guy? What? What? No mistreatment has ever been made public, so if it’s there he’d better toss it out, because with each passing day he looks like a more petulant and ungrateful bitch. It’s times like this past week that I most miss Reggie, I would’ve loved to hear what he had to say about the ‘09 Vikings being better than the ‘95-’97 Packers. Whatever, enjoy it, Swampies, I’ve had so many January afternoons singlehandedly wrecked by this guy’s horrible decisionmaking skills, it’s easy to see how their season will end. The only drama is how it’ll happen. Will it be the horrific pass on 2nd down in early OT, thrown into triple coverage? Or possibly the pass inexplicably thrown eight yards after he passed the line of scrimmage? How about an impromptu “arm punt” to Brian Dawkins? Or maybe just a combination of six nondescript picks like back in ‘02?

    Whatever route he takes, I’m sure Minnesota’s kick in the teeth will be extra special, since he loves them so much more than he ever did us.

  11. The Jewru says:

    That was awesome. lol

  12. RotoScoop says:

    “free from the oppressive love of Packer fans and free from the horrors of having to negotiate Manhattan traffic with a deer on the hood of his F-350.”

    Hahahaha.

    Brilliant Dreamweapon. Hilarious stuff. Can I pass this along to John Madden?

  13. devinthedude says:

    Jewru who’s retarded now, really that was Steve Young Caliber play out there today (maybe after multiple in game concussions)? GB really bounced back good call buddy. That really worked out for the Jets, in the long run, pounding the ball all game they really broke a leg. Also da Raiders covered like I said ya jackass. LT 18 carries 54 yards. Did you even see the Raiders/Jets game or were you just looking at post game stats, Sanchez looked terrible.

    P.S. I hate Favre too only thing to admire him for was his pill addiction, except for the fact that Vicodin is for pussies.

    P.S.S. I’m an idiot for going against my system and picking G-Men they are in a bad way.

  14. devinthedude says:

    Lucky ass Aints finally got the voodoo working for em, that said their pt spreads can only get more inflated from here. Elam why weren’t you this bad against the Raiders??

  15. RotoScoop says:

    Little premature buddy.

  16. devinthedude says:

    Disregard last post. Elam is a god and I am a genuis for picking the Falcons. The Aints DDD curse is on.

  17. RotoScoop says:

    Curse is an understatement. This is a team I led 31-3 ATS last week and lost.

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