NFL Training Camp Notes

By Dalton Del Don

Beanie Wells (right ankle) only participated in individual drills during Wednesday’s practice – After recently aggravating the injury, Wells’ status for Saturday’s preseason game is still up in the air, and he continues to miss valuable practice time. The rookie hasn’t participated in a full practice this summer, and he wasn’t able to participate in any of Arizona’s OTAs either, thanks to college rules. About a month ago, Wells was one of my favorite targets, but his inability to stay healthy has clearly become quite a concern. My reasoning was while Wells was perpetually banged up at Ohio St., he only missed three games throughout his collegiate career, so he must be somewhat tough. And he clearly has the physical tools to be successful at the next level. Also, the NFC West is incredibly soft defensively, and with a fantasy playoff schedule of @SF, @DET, and STL, Wells could be a huge factor when it matters most. Moreover, Tim Hightower is terrible, and Ken Whisenhunt is a run-first coach at heart, and he didn’t use a first round pick on a running back to be a backup. Finally, the Cardinals field a much better run blocking unit than most people think.

Coach Andy Reid has been pleased with Brian Westbrook’s (ankle, knee) progress so far in training camp – Westbrook has been a guy I’ve avoided for three years running, thinking this is the time he breaks down physically. And after each instance he proved me wrong, I refused to go to the well the following year, as I was sure when I finally did, then that will be when he busts. Well, even though he continued to miss games, it’s safe to say this strategy has backfired. In 2006, he totaled 1,916 yards. Two years ago, it was a meager 2,104 yards. And even last season, when he was clearly hampered by injuries, he totaled 1,338 and a career-high 14 touchdowns despite a career-low 4.0 YPC. And the thing is, when you consider he’s putting up that kind of production while missing games each year, it actually makes him MORE valuable, since you get a replacement during the DNPs. Last year’s decline in YPC could be a sign of things to come; after all, he’s now 30 years old. But his career mileage (1,247 carries) remains low. However, LeSean McCoy has impressed during the preseason, and he offers a similar skill set, so the touch distribution could become 60-40 or even 50-50, since Philadelphia’s main goal is to have Westbrook healthy for the playoffs (not that that scenario is guaranteed). Still, Westbrook can be ridiculously valuable even with just 225 carries, and Jason Peters is a terrific run blocker, even if he gave up a bunch of sacks last year. I’m avoiding RBs like Clinton Portis and LaDainian Tomlinson, but Westbrook could easily remain a top-five back, despite his age.

Walter Jones will undergo arthroscopic surgery on his left knee, the same knee he had operated on in December – Shaun Alexander got all the fantasy glory, but make no mistake, Jones was mostly responsible. His return to health is imperative to the Seahawks’ 2009 season, so this is a huge blow to everyone involved. Jones is coming back from microfracture surgery, and although he practiced the first day of training camp, he suffered back spasms shortly after and missed the next 12 days. Translation = he’s breaking down. Normally I don’t like to overreact to secondary problems like this, but I’d downgrade Julius Jones, Matt Hasselbeck, etc. in this case. I’m having the hardest time trying to predict the NFC West winner, maybe more than any other division in football.


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7 responses to “NFL Training Camp Notes”

  1. Donald Trump Avatar
    Donald Trump

    What are your thoughts on P Rivers? Sure, he is a top 6 or 7 QB, but how crazy is it to slot him at #4? He lead the NFL in TD (34), Y/Att (8.4), and passer rating (105) while throwing for 4,000 yards. Are people thinking it was a fluke, that he doesn’t attempt enough throws to repeat it, or what?

  2. new balance Avatar
    new balance

    imho, p rivers played slightly over his head last year, but his receiving corp is gaining experience, and i think the chargers will be forced to rely on the pass a bit more as LT’s impact will slowly diminish over time. The flip side of that coin is the chargers d should be much improved this year, and that may reduce the passing attempts slightly. which outweighs the other is a big ?

    I’m a chargers fan so slightly biased, and i’ve never been big on rivers, but i wouldn’t be shocked if he replicates his numbers from last year.

  3. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    As I wrote a ton, I thought Rivers was the MVP last year. Easily. He developed into a super star, something that surprised me. That said, as you allude to, attempts are the big issue when it comes to fantasy value this year. I do like his receiving weapons, especially with a now healthy A. Gates. And it’s entirely possible LT completely breaks down. However, N. Turner schemes heavily to the run, and as new balance states, SD’s defense should be greatly improved.

    And another huge issue is how awful the AFC West is. There will be a handful of games where Rivers won’t have to throw more than five times after halftime.

    Bottom line, Rivers is for real, but throwing 34 TDs on just 478 attempts, like he did last year, will be extremely difficult to replicate. Remember when Big Ben threw 32 TDs on just 404 attempts two years ago? That number predictably dropped to 17 last year. Now, Rivers will def. be better than that, and he’s the QB7 on my board, but I’d personally take Romo or Schaub ahead of him.

  4. Donald Trump Avatar
    Donald Trump

    Great points, thanks. If he was closer to league average in terms of td/att and td/comp then he would have gotten around 25 tds last year.

  5. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Right, and that’s still very good. Don’t get me wrong, I like Rivers, he’s just not in a great situation regarding volume. And it’s also fairly safe to expect that unreal 8.4 YPA to regress some.

  6. The Jewru Avatar
    The Jewru

    I completely agree with you Dalton on Rivers. SD is so superior to their division foes that blowouts will surely lead to a major regression for Rivers. I won’t be touching him since his ADP will be pretty high.
    Better off with Aaron Rodgers!

  7. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Oh without question Rodgers. He’s in my top tier.

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