Brian Sabean Strikes Again

By Dalton Del Don

When I first heard of my Giants trading Tim Alderson for Freddy Sanchez, my blood immediately started to boil. I let the expletives fly. I then decided to give up on the team until Brian Sabean is gone. I’ve since tried to talk myself into it, and while I’ll acknowledge the team is better today than they were before the deal, the more I think about it, this trade was indefensible and terrible.

The Giants’ second baseman have accumulated a .603 OPS this season, which ranks 27th in the league (and close to 29th), so that position clearly required addressing. However, what the team needed more was a batter who hits home runs and gets on base, something Sanchez does neither of. Don’t get me wrong, he’s a nice player with a 6.3 UZR/150 and a solid .296/.334/.442 line. But he’s also not cheap, and if he reaches 600 plate appearances this season, won’t be cheap in 2010 either. In fact, because of his contract, the Pirates were actively trying to get rid of him. Sanchez’s strikeouts are way up this year, and his .343 BABIP suggests a BA decline is in store, which is a problem for someone who rarely walks. It’s never a good sign when the general manager defends a trade by talking about batting average, team chemistry and being a “professional hitter.” I’m sick to my stomach.

Alderson’s numbers have really declined since his move to Double-A, and I can appreciate a good TINSTAAPP philosophy. However, he is just 20 years old, making him extremely young for that league, and the big decrease in strikeouts, while worrisome, can be attributed to him working on developing a changeup and also the organization instructing him to “just getting ground balls and staying in the game longer.” That’s right. The Giants actively teach their minor league pitchers to avoid strikeouts. Alderson may never be an ace with his lack of fastball velocity, but his curveball and command are already major league quality.

The trade itself was maddening, but what really kills me was the context behind it. The Brewers just recently traded for a similar (and much cheaper) player in Felipe Lopez and gave up FAR less. In fact, there’s an argument Alderson is a better pitching prospect than any arm included in the Cliff Lee deal. The Giants are delusional if they think they are a better team than the Cardinals or Cubs, and the outlook should have always been long-term, despite the surprising play of 2009. Moreover, Sanchez is currently INJURED. With a sore shoulder and banged up knee, I doubt it’s a coincidence he’s batting .128 (with a 13:1 K:BB ratio) since the All-Star break. His knee is still so sore, there’s a chance he won’t make his SF debut until next week. I’d bet even money Sabean would finish dead last if he played in my home fantasy league – he’s the master of buying-high.


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6 responses to “Brian Sabean Strikes Again”

  1. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    I don’t like Juan Uribe. At all. But please compare his current slash stats with Sanchez’s:

    Uribe – .284/.314/.431

    Sanchez – .296/.334/.442

  2. Keith Avatar
    Keith

    It was supposed to be a salary dump for the Pirates, and instead they got a top-30 prospect out of it. That blows my mind. The Giants could have gotten either Adam Kennedy or Orlando Cabrera from the A’s for cheaper (I think they need SS help more anyway, right) and the players are far cheaper as well. I’ve seen a lot of places/people call this a “fair” trade, and I don’t get that at all. I’d be peeved if I was a Giants fan.

  3. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Peeved is an understatement.

  4. Stefan Avatar
    Stefan

    My initial reaction was anger.

    My secondary reaction was confusion.

    After sleeping on it, I feel better about the deal and here’s why…Alderson is destined for the bullpen at the ML level. After 2+ seasons in the Giants organization he still cannot figure out how to throw out of the wind-up. His delivery is awkward and stiff resulting in a loss of velocity (avg. velocity in 2009 is 88mph). Alderson only threw out of the stretch throughout high school and is continuously tinkering with his wind-up motion. The kid relies on control and a big breaking ball, while still working on developing a change-up, which is possibly the toughest pitch to master for a pitcher. At 20 years old he is at an advanced level (AA), but this trade cannot be properly evaluated for several years.

    In addition, Sabean has a pretty solid track record for trading pitchers. Remember Kurt Ainsworth? Ryan Vogelsong? Or how about Jesse Foppert? Foppert, the #1 prospect in baseball and the greatest prospect the Giants ever had in there system until Sir Madison Bumgarner? Where is Foppert now? There is no such thing as a can’t miss prospect, especially at 20 yrs old. Bottomline, Alderson is not a “once in a decade” pitching prospect, Bumgarner is, and fancy this, Zach Wheeler has more upside and potential than Alderson ever did. Once the Giants sign Wheeler, their 2009 1st round pick, he would have passed Alderson on the organizational prospect list anyway.

    Alderson was nice, but Freddy Sanchez is nicer. Especially considering Rentaria is DL bound, shifting Uribe to SS. Say the trade wasn’t made, would the Giants even have a playoff chance with Frandsen or Velez manning 2B? I doubt it. Sanchez is a 3 time All-Star, albeit on the Pirates (the beneficiary of one All-Star representitve from each team), but he won a batting title and plays gold glove defense. Losing Ishikawa’s glove due to the Garko trade hurts, but putting Sanchez at 2B negates the lack of glove at 1B. With a team built around pitching, defense is stressed at a greater rate.

    Check out Keith Law’s analysis of Alderson here…http://insider.espn.go.com/espn/blog/index?entryID=4365281&name=law_keith

    It’s an ESPN insider article, if you need my user/password let me know…it’s a good read.

    Just my 2 cents.

  5. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Good stuff Stefan. Good point about Alderson and pitching out of the stretch, b/c he was purely a reliever when the Giants drafted him. He was first viewed as a potential future closer, I believe. Sabean did trade away Nathan and Liriano, but the latter’s health proved to be a significant concern, and you do bring up excellent counter arguments regarding Ainsworth, etc. And by no means is Alderson a can’t miss. In fact, I’d say odds are less than 50-50 he becomes an above (or even) average SP.

    And I agree Wheeler has more upside. J. Uribe actually has a better UZR at 2B than Sanchez this year, but that’s such a small sample size, it’s probably a fluke. But I just really, really hope Sanchez can return to health, which is a big reason why I’m so worried. And it’s extra frustrating seeing the F. Lopez and C. Lee deals. And SF still deploys the worst cleanup hitter in the past 50 years of major league baseball.

  6. Stefan Avatar
    Stefan

    Molina is fat

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