The Scoop

By Dalton Del Don

One of my biggest regrets during draft season is not having Kevin Slowey on a single team of mine. He’s never going to win any ERA titles with his susceptibility to the long ball, but his pinpoint control makes Slowey one of the bigger helps in WHIP.  He’s also showing signs of even bigger things to come, as he fanned 44 batters over the final 46 innings last year and has posted a sparkling 20:1 K:BB ratio over 20.1 innings this spring. He’s a darkhorse candidate to win the Cy Young.

I was surprised to see Gary Sheffield released, as I considered him a sneaky fantasy pick while a full-time DH this year. It would have to be extremely frustrating to end a career stuck on 499 homers, but it would also be sweet karmic revenge for throwing my main man Barry Bonds under the bus. Prediction: Sheffield never plays baseball again.

During my NFBC draft Wednesday night, a whopping 24 relief pitchers were taken before the end of round 11. I have been shying away from my usual punting saves strategy, but I was left with no choice during this madness. I like Chris Ray quite a bit this year, but I didn’t expect him to go in round 11. As for some middle relievers who I have been stashing in hopes of getting saves later while also helping in the meantime: Ryan Madson (14:0 K:BB ratio over 13.1 innings this spring), Octavio Dotel (14:2: K:BB ratio over 10 innings this spring, Jenks is somewhat shaky), Rafael Soriano (terrific when healthy, coming cheaper than expected after more injuries this spring), and Santiago Casilla (Devine looks done for, and we’ll see how Ziegler does the second time around the league. His low K rate is a red flag. Casilla hasn’t been all that impressive this spring, but he has upside and reminds me a lot of former A’s prospect Jairo Garcia).

What if Luther Head’s dad named him Richard instead?

Judging from the drafts and auctions I’ve been in this year, most are much higher on Scott Kazmir than I am. Listen, he might have the most upside of any pitcher in the American League, especially in the K department, but there’s also plenty of downside. Maybe an offseason of rest cured him, but I can’t shake the memory of how different he looked at the end of 2008. Despite striking out 94 batters over 85.1 innings, Kazmir didn’t finish with a WHIP better than 1.43 in any of last year’s final three months. He’s reached 190 innings in just one of his four big league seasons, so he’s a pretty big injury risk. He’s shown improved command this spring, but this is a pitcher with a career 4.13 BB/9 mark. I’m not saying I’d avoid Kazmir, but he’s certainly gone high for my taste, at least in the leagues I’ve been in.

For a good laugh, read this joker over at newsday.com. He’s another misguided soul who believes Joba Chamberlain would be more valuable throwing 70 innings than 150 (and eventually 180-200). The money quote: “Many can start; few can finish. Joba can finish. He was a great setup man, and someday he’ll be a great closer. Those commodities are a lot scarcer on the market than starting pitchers.” One quick glance at the discrepancy between starting pitchers’ salaries versus closers’ salaries makes it pretty clear which one is the “scarcer” of the two.

Jay Cutler to the Bears. Wow. We may never see a bigger trade in the NFL ever again. Top-five commodities in their prime are rarely available. I applaud Chicago and Washington for their aggressive pursuit (although now the Skins may have to deal with an unhappy Jason Campbell) and am left dumbfounded why the 49ers sat this one out. I would have traded my team’s entire 2009 draft plus a first rounder next year for Cutler. This deal was flat-out robbery. I mean, this year’s first round pick is just No. 18 – and one can only assume it will be lower next year with Cutler on board. Then again, ESPN’s Trent Dilfer said Kyle Orton has something Cutler does not – “moxie,” so what do I know anyway? Josh McDaniels might be the worst coach in NFL history before even coaching his first game.


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15 responses to “The Scoop”

  1. Dreamweapon Avatar
    Dreamweapon

    Sheffield has always been a cocksucker. This is a guy who admits having purposely made errors (throwing the ball over the first baseman’s head, into the stands) during actual games just because he didn’t like Milwaukee. So what? I’m from Sconnie and even I don’t like Milwaukee, it’s dirty and boring and the people are often stunningly stupid for a state that routinely fields the highest ACT scores in the nation (seriously, try going into any bar on Water Street and starting an intelligent conversation with any local burgher….good luck. Madison, on the other hand, is one of America’s true gems.), but how on god’s green earth is that an excuse to not just dog it, but to actively sabotage your team during meaningful games? His teammates should have given him the Pvt. Pyle treatment the first night he pulled that shit, and maybe Rob Deer slamming him in the skull with a bar of soap might have hammered some sense into the jackhole. That said, he’s already being actively courted by at least the Phillies and Cincy, so it seems like the tool isn’t done yet, his karma notwithstanding.

    I saw Head play at the U of I all the time, and every single time the announcer said his name, the Prince song played in my mind.

    I’m done with Kazmir, he simply cannot locate the zone consistently and never pitches deep into games. He’s had enough time and hasn’t gotten it done, I’m not going to carry some torch for D-Cab’s Mini-Me any longer, it’s over.

  2. Donald Trump Avatar
    Donald Trump

    I agree bro, shef does not play again.

  3. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    An NL team would be insane to sign Sheff. Can you imagine Ibanez and Sheffield in the same outfield?

  4. Dreamweapon Avatar
    Dreamweapon

    I know, I think it’s insane, but that’s just what I’m reading. I’m not endorsing the move, I would love for him to be finished (as long as we’re fantasizing, I’d love for him to be in a Colombian prison), but if he’s already got suitors, well….

  5. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    I know. I may def. look wrong with that prediction. Soon.

  6. Nat Avatar
    Nat

    See, I don’t think this is such robbery. I like Cutler just a little less than you, but they got quite a haul. Denver will have #12 and #18 this year, 2 more 1st rounders next year, plus an extra 3rd rounder this year. That’s ridiculous for McDaniels. AND then he gets Kyle Orton – who may not pan out, but is competitively serviceable at worst, and potentially more McDaniels style anyway. I wouldn’t even begin to call him the worst coach ever until his 4 first round picks play out.

    In fact, if anything, this deal says to me that the Patriots should’ve received at least 1 first round pick for Cassel.

  7. Keith Avatar
    Keith

    I definitely think it’s a steal. You can’t just get franchise quarterbacks that easy anymore. Even when you think you’re drafting one, you expect the first couple seasons to still be fairly developmental. Now, the Bears are getting Cutler at the best stage of his career while cheaply signed (though I’m sure they’ll give him some giant extension) without having to go through the goddawful “toss the rookie QB to the wolves and start him right away or let him sit on the bench for two years while he learns the NFL” routine. I’m seriously disappointed the 49ers didn’t seriously pursue him. I can’t even begin to tell you how unenthused I am about their ball-control offense.

  8. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Nat – Agreed this deal certainly can’t be fully judged until a couple of years from now. And like you mention, it also shows just how different the rest of the league viewed Cutler vs. Cassel – McDaniels was way off there.

    Keith – The 9ers blew it. Big time.

  9. Rich Avatar
    Rich

    I think that Jay Cutler may be a bit overrated. Did I read Top 5 QB???
    I believe he is bordeline Top 10, which puts him a couple of spots above average. He may turn out to be something more then above average, but
    he will have that opportunity now with the Bears. He will have a running game, below average receiving corp, and below average OL. When the detractors always point to his sub 500 record as a starter, the defenders always blame it on the horrible Denver defense (and rightly so, their defense is awful). But now the defense won’t be an issue. Now he will have to lift that team up and carry them to wins. He will get a chance to become a Top 10 QB, but Top 5? I would take an aging Peyton, an injured Brady, and a 2 time Superbowl Champion Ben over Jay. And today, I would take both rooks from last years playoffs over Jay, as they appear to have exhibited more leadship (read this as moxie) in their rookie year then Jay has in 3 years in the NFL. Arm strength isn’t all the position requires to be successful, just ask Jeff George. The kid has a lot of growing up to do, and I am not sure that Chicago will afford him too much time to get it done. Finally, I am not even sure he is the best QB in his own division, Aaron Rodgers would get my vote.

  10. Dreamweapon Avatar
    Dreamweapon

    Rich, I think maybe you need to go back and find the post where Dalton compared Cutler’s stats over the first three years of his career to those of Joe Montana. Roethlisberger is a fine QB, but he’s not in Cutler’s class, the Steelers won that first SB _despite_ him, not because of him (9 for 21, 123 yards, 2 picks–there is simply no reasonable debate to be had on the matter, there are plenty of high school kids who could have put up those numbers). He was better the second time around, sure, but it was against a decidedly inferior defense. He’s averaged _less than 3,000 yards/season in his career_. That’s pretty crappy no matter what excuses one wants to make for him, especially considering the quality of the teams he’s played on. He’s also eclipsed 20 TDs exactly once in a five year career, whereas Cutler’s done it both of his full seasons to date.

    That said, I would concede that while he’s a Top-5 guy in reality, on talent, his days of Top-5 statline production are pretty thoroughly finished. The Bears are ultraconservative on offense and always have been. The Eyesore on the Lakeshore isn’t especially conducive to fielding a passing attack in general, owing to the bizarre wind patterns, but worse yet, their receivers are god awful, and I think Jerry Angelo probably used his very limited lifetime supply of balls to make the Cutler move already, there’s probably no hope of any additional cavalry on the horizon. And even if the GM had the gumption to go out and get a guy, getting ol’ Ginny to loosen the purse strings would be another matter entirely. Considering they haven’t had a decent QB since the second World War, I’m not sure the Bears as a team even know what to do with him, they probably lack the institutional memory at this point. I own the guy in a keeper league with a points format that radically overemphasizes the QB position (two starting QBs, good ones tend to score _2 1/2 times more than good RBs_) and felt great about my position there, but now I’m going to be bending over backwards to get rid of the guy. As luck would have it 10 of the 11 other owners are in Chicago, so I should be able to come away with another big gun, but yes, I do see his numbers essentially falling off a cliff. I just don’t think that has anything to do with his talent, which is elite–it’s just because the Bears are the absolute worst team in the league to play QB for.

  11. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Rich – I’ll concede I could see putting Peyton, Brady, Romo, Rivers, Big Ben and Ryan currently ahead of Cutler. I could nitpick (Big Ben’s sacks, blah blah) but for the sake of argument, let’s say those six are ahead of him as now. That still leaves Cutler as the 7th best commodity in the NFL in my eyes. And I totally agree about arm strength being overrated – it’s an added bonus but decision-making and accuracy are by far the most important aspects to playing QB. And Cutler is extremely accurate. He does, however, need to make better decisions at times and curtail the gunslinger mentality.

    And Dreamweapon, while I agree his situation is far worse now, I wouldn’t expect his numbers to fall off a cliff.

  12. Dreamweapon Avatar
    Dreamweapon

    Really? I haven’t done any in-depth research but my guess is that he just saw at least 600-700 yards and 5 TDs erased from his annual line. The Bears often act like the forward pass is an immoral act.

    Maybe you’re right, but I’ll put it this way: I’m not going to be the one to find out. If I can trade him for Ryan I’ll do it without a second thought. I also have Rodgers in that league and we only keep three players, so if I somehow can’t find a taker, I’ll honestly probably drop him outright and keep Rodgers and a couple of WRs (I have Fitzgerald, A. Johnson, White and Boldin to choose from) instead, WRs are fairly important b/c its PPR. Basically, I suspect the falloff from any of those WRs to whoever would be available in the 1st round would dwarf the separation between Cutler on the Bears and whatever schlub I get as a 2nd QB. I would frankly be shocked if Cutler finished next season in the top half of the league as far as starting QBs for FFL purposes.

  13. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Well, there’s a difference b/w keeping Ryan over him and falling off a cliff, of course. But you also don’t think Cutler will be a top-15 fantasy QB next year? I figure I’ll probably have him ranked around 10th.

  14. Dreamweapon Avatar
    Dreamweapon

    I just can’t see it, despite his talent, that situation is god awful. He’s lucky in that he goes to GB the first week and won’t have to play there in December, that alone could mean 100+ yd swing, but apart from that, man….those receivers are awful, just awful. Is there any team in the NFL you wouldn’t swap receivers with if you were the Bears? I can’t think of one. Even shaky corps like Miami’s and Baltimore’s put them to shame. Then there’s the team philosophy–the “blue collar”/”smashmouth”/whatever other cliche term you want to sub in style of football is a point of pride for the organization, which of course is still owned and operated by the Halas clan. Given that, and probably inclement weather in the latter half of the season, well, it’s a lot to overcome.

    Here are QBs I would rather have than Cutler next year:
    Brady
    P. Manning
    Brees
    Rodgers
    Romo
    Ryan
    Rivers
    Roethlisberger
    Cassel (and I’m no great fan)
    Warner
    Schaub
    McNabb
    Garrard (awful receivers too but he runs, he’ll be safer)
    Hasselbeck (if healthy, with Housh? Yeah, I would)
    Edwards (yes, Edwards. Owens and Evans? Yes please)

    So that’s 15 right there. And I wouldn’t be at all surprised if he was eclipsed by:

    E. Manning
    Delhomme
    Campbell
    Palmer?
    Cleveland QB

    He carries more upside than those guys, but just as much risk and possibly more. I’d definitely take him ahead of Pennington (too old, too frail), Flacco, Bulger, Orton (haha, Orton….good luck McDork), TB QB, Bulger, SF QB, Min QB and whatever other clowns I’m not remembering, but that’s still quite a fall.

    Again, YMMV, I have lived in the NFC North nee Central territory for 95% of my life and may be letting my overexposure to boring Bears’ football cloud my judgment, I suppose anything is possible….

  15. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Well, the Bears defense will have to play a whole lot better than last year for them to become some huge running team. And Devin Hester actually took major strides. Greg Olsen is a top-5 (at worst) tight end. But after that, it’s definitely ugly (at least Forte is dangerous in the passing game). Chicago should go all in and bring Burress aboard.

    Believe me, I hear what you’re saying, and it should also take some time to learn a new system as well. But I’d personally take Cutler over Big Ben, McNabb, Garrard, Hasselbeck and Edwards next year. That might be just me though.

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