The Scoop

By Dalton Del Don

Call me crazy, but I currently view Jason Motte as a top-10 closer. Sure, there are safer options, but then again, there’s also quite a bit of uncertainty in the closer’s market right now (B.J. Ryan, Brian Fuentes, Francisco Cordero, etc.). There’s always the chance Tony La Russa goes all Ryan Franklin on us, but I always draft for skills, not role, and he’s probably a smarter manager than that anyway. I like Chris Perez, but he’s walked 5.6 batters per nine innings throughout his career, and I’m not sure why he’s generally considered the pitcher with more upside. Motte, a former catcher, didn’t even start pitching until two years ago, compiling a 11.9 K/9 mark throughout 164.2 minor league innings. When you combine last year’s stint with the Cardinals and his stats this spring, you get an acceptable 31:4 K:BB ratio over 21.1 innings. And this has all been accomplished throwing primarily his fastball, as his slider remains a work in progress (and it’s showing definite signs of improvement). With terrific command of a devastating fastball, he only needs the slider to be average anyway. Go get him.

I’m guessing this cop got picked on an awful lot in high school. I give Ryan Moats a lot of credit – I would have easily ended up in jail if this happened to me.

I’ve written about Johnny Cueto ad nauseam, so I’ll keep it short and simple; he has an 11:2 K:BB ratio this spring and has the upside of entering next year as a top-20 fantasy starter. The 11 Ks have come in 18 innings, so I’d like to see him missing more bats, and his ballpark is always going to remain a big obstacle. Still, the improved command is a very nice sign. I’m still buying.

Your weekly Stephen Strasburg update. He now has an 88:8 K:BB ratio over 42.1 innings.

I’m starting to come around on Todd Helton. Obviously, his prime is well in the past, and I doubt he’ll ever return to his 30-homer days. However, his back appears to be the healthiest it’s been in years, and he’s currently posting a 1.446 OPS during spring. Sure, it’s a tiny sample size, but the four homers are telling. Helton isn’t likely to hit more than 20-25 bombs in 2009, but he still has Coors Field on his side and should be a major asset in batting average. He’s just one year removed from a .928 OPS season and is 35 years old, hardly that ancient. If he’s truly back to health, Helton could be a big help in fantasy leagues.

Everyone always talks about how thin middle infield and catcher are, and normally, I agree. However, I’d argue third base is the shallowest position right now. I guess there’s a top-8 (Wright, ARod, Longoria, A. Ramirez, Youkilis, Chipper, C. Davis, Atkins), but there’s definite injury concerns with three of those, and Atkins is shaky at best. But the real problem is after that group, when it becomes a true crapshoot. I’d much prefer waiting on MI and gambling on a Khalil Greene, Yunel Escobar, Jed Lowrie, Felipe Lopez, Freddy Sanchez, etc. than I would taking a Mike Lowell, Carlos Guillen, Mark Reynolds or Melvin Mora. But the problem is I’m not all that big on any third baseman after the big-three, so Hank Blalock is too often ending up as my starter.

I honestly can’t tell if Richard Justice is being sarcastic here. Based off his last few columns, it appears he’s being dead serious.

I’ve been a Conor Jackson fan for quite some time now, but it might be time to call a spade a spade. I love his plate discipline and home stadium, so he should be an asset in BA and runs scored, but his lack of power is a huge source of concern. Dating back to last year and through this spring, CoJack has ZERO homers over his last 248 at-bats.

I’m not even going to waste much time talking about how absolutely ridiculous it is to have Brandon Morrow become a full-time closer, because it’s not even worth it. Maybe his arm will only hold up as a reliever, but that conclusion has hardly been reached yet. And I don’t care if that’s his preference, just as it shouldn’t matter where Manny Ramirez wants to hit in the lineup. If I were a Mariners fan, I would be highly discouraged – the fact this is being allowed shows complete incompetence from top to bottom. Really, it’s sad. Forget teams comprehending complex stats correctly, or trying to dissect defensive measures, can we at least reach the point where some common sense is instituted?


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6 responses to “The Scoop”

  1. Brett Greenfield Avatar

    DDD,

    I am giving CoJack one more year but I agree.. its just about time to call a spade a spade..

    That Houston beat writer MUST be kidding.. seriously…

    3B is very weak but a full season from Ian Stewart, Andy LaRoche and Josh Fields could change things heading into 2010.

    Either way, I am targeting one of those top three if I have a first round pick.

  2. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Brett – Richard Justice is not kidding. Check out an article he wrote earlier:

    http://blogs.chron.com/sportsjustice/archives/2009/03/if_michael_bour.html

    I def. could see those 3B breaking out this year.

  3. Dreamweapon Avatar
    Dreamweapon

    OK, you’re crazy. [g] I don’t know much about Motte, but it just seems like his position is anything but secure. From what I’ve read of scouting reports, his arsenal is limited to one pitch, and of course you touched on that. I’ve also heard, though, that his fastball is as straight as an arrow with virtually no movement at all. I know he throws fast as all hell, but if that’s all you’ve got, and the ball always stays on the same plane, doesn’t it seem like sooner or later pro hitters are going to start treating this guy like a glorified tee? I guess I would rather have a guy like Morrow, Bell or Francisco, or even Lindstrom, to be honest. Maybe the reports I’ve read are BS, I haven’t really seen him other than maybe a highlight or two on MLB TV and like you said maybe his slider will come around, but if not, I can’t see putting him top-20 at this point, esp. with the uncertainty surrounding his role.

    Never liked CoJack, never. I figured this out a couple of years ago, but CoJack, Kotchman and Loney are all the same guy. And that guy is vintage Lyle Overbay. Hey, if that floats one’s boat, more power to ’em–there’s something to be said for that type of player in real life, they can help out on a winning team. As a fantasy option at the most power-dependent position (and LF is only marginally less demanding than 1B, really) in the game, well…..pass.

    That Houston clown isn’t alone. Consider the source, mind you, but the ESPN the Magazine MLB Preview has Houston third in the NL Central, ahead of, haha, the Brewers. I think that if Houston finishes out of the cellar, it’ll only be due to typical yeoman’s work in the L column by Pittsburgh, and that even Cincy is a far better team. The notion that Houston has any chance of finishing ahead of Milwaukee sounds like the product of an afternoon spent slamming whippets. I know losing Sabathia is rough, but christ, c’mon, Milwaukee could go and get five starters from the Northern League and still be a better club. I would say the chances of Milwaukee finishing the season beneath the Astros in the standings are about the same as me enjoying a one-night stand with Monica Bellucci. But hey, Justice has his fantasy, I have mine.

  4. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Dreamweapon – Troy Percival made a career out of throwing just a fastball. I would also say Mo Rivera has just one pitch, but that’s unfair since it’s one of the best pitches of all time. I’m no scout – 99 percent of the time I just go by the numbers, and his are off the charts. Maybe big league hitters will catch up to him, or maybe he’ll develop that slider. Either way, he’s been dominant every stop of the way.

    I used to be big on those three guys – Loney, CoJack and Kotchman, then I realized they are better real life players than fantasy. You just need to have some power. Although Loney I haven’t written off yet.

    I have Mill. finishing ahead of the Astros, but the Brew Crew also lost Sheets, and Wandy Rodriguez could take a big step forward, so I’m not saying it’s as big a slam dunk as you. Still, R. Justice has become clinically insane.

  5. Dreamweapon Avatar
    Dreamweapon

    To be honest, I discount the Sheets loss completely because I think a full season of Gallardo will easily make up for that subtraction without skipping a beat. Rodriguez is ok, but is he any more of a threat to break out than a guy like Parra, who has a career 8+ K/9? I know he had a high WHIP last year, but this is a guy with a scant 2.5 BB/9 in a fairly lengthy minors tally. I think that’s a wash at worst as far as comparisons go. As for Russ Ortiz and Mike Hampton being counted on as starters, well, all I can really say is…..hahahahahahahahaha. Hahahahahahahahahahahahah, ahahahahahahahaha, ahahhhaaaaaaaahaha. Oh, that felt good. Yeah, that’ll work. Don’t get me wrong, I think Suppan pretty much sucks, but those guys couldn’t carry Soup’s jock. This is a team starting such offensive titans as Geoff Blum and Michael Bourn. They’re desperately reliant on production from Kaz Matsui, who in turn makes Chipper Jones look like Lou Gehrig. I look at that team and see 2 3/4 good bats, 1 1/2 good arms and a nice closer, and that’s about it. They’ll have one of the three worst offenses in all of baseball (only the Pads and the Giants (sorry) can compete for general ineptitude there).

    Ahhh, Spring Training, no better time for whistling past the graveyard.

  6. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Good point about Gallardo replacing Sheets this year. I really hope he comes through b/c I spent $19 on him at LABR. I worry how many innings he can throw this year after last year. And while I do rank W. Rodriguez ahead of Parra, it’s only slightly, and I have Parra in a bunch of leagues as well so I;m a believer (including LABR).

    But ya, the Astros have 2/3 of the weakest spots in their lineup of any club in baseball, and Russ Ortiz/Mike Hampton are obviously jokes.

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