Bet on It

By Dalton Del Don

Last week I went 6-8-2, bringing my season total to 118-99-7. The Cowboys had no problem with the Giants, improving my best bet record to 9-4-2. I struggled with this week for the most part and once again sided with too many favorites for my liking. While the Giants’ offense has become easier to defend without Plaxico Burress, it seems like a good opportunity to buy low here and sell high on Carolina. The Giants still defend the run well, so the Panthers may have to rely on the pass more than usual, and Jake Delhomme has gotten just 6.5 YPA with a 3:7 TD:INT ratio while on the road this season. Back the G-Men.

Colts -6.5 at Jaguars

Ravens +4 at Cowboys

Bengals +3 at Browns

Saints -7 at Lions

Dolphins -4 at Chiefs

Cardinals +8.5 at Patriots

49ers -5.5 at Rams

Steelers -1.5 at Titans

Chargers +3.5 at Buccaneers

Bills +7.5 at Broncos

Texans -7.5 at Raiders

Jets -5 at Seahawks

Falcons +3 at Vikings

Eagles -5 at Redskins

Panthers +3 at Giants (best bet)

Packers +4 at Bears


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28 responses to “Bet on It”

  1. RotoFever Avatar
    RotoFever

    Second straight week my best bet inclination was the opposite of yours (I originally had the Panthers based on the Giants struggling offense and the 3.5 pts.). I learned from last week though. Not going to make that my best bet. We agreed on a lot of other picks this week. Any you felt more strongly about than others?

  2. RotoFever Avatar
    RotoFever

    Leaning toward Houston or Philly but I don’t like the weather forecast for the Philly game.

  3. RotoFever Avatar
    RotoFever

    Also hate making a round team my best bet. Argh.

  4. Wright, Most the Time Says Avatar
    Wright, Most the Time Says

    Thought I would re-post my picks

    Week 16 Picks
    Colts -6
    Cowboys -4
    Titans +2
    Dolphins -4
    Cardinals +8
    Bengals +3
    Eagles -5
    Rams +5.5
    Falcons +3.5 stone cold lock
    Saints -7
    Panthers +3
    Jets -5
    Texans -7 stone cold lock
    Buffalo +7 stone cold lock
    Bucs -3.5
    Bears -4

  5. Wright, Most the Time Says Avatar
    Wright, Most the Time Says

    Triple D, when you going to post your college picks? You’ve got two days.

  6. matt Avatar
    matt

    Dalton, I have a tough choice coming up at the flex position. I know you haven’t done your rankings yet, but who would you feel safe going with in the championship: Lance Moore, T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Darren McFadden or Jamal Lewis?
    We count return yards, it’s .5 per reception, eight rushing yards is a point and a rushing touchdown is eight points compared to six for a receiving touchdown…my cuz is an idiot for these settings.
    Thanks in advance.

  7. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    RotoFever – The other teams I like best this week are: Eagles, Steelers and Cowboys. Philly should roll. But I agree it’s better to make a home team your best bet, and weather is always a possible equalizer.

  8. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    B. Wright – I haven’t filled out my college sheet yet. I need to do that tonight. Do you want me to fill in one using your posted picks and turn it in tomorrow, and you’ll give me the $20 next time I see you?

  9. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Matt – I’d go with Lance Moore. Best matchup possible and hopefully his targets will pick back up with R. Bush out. McFadden would be my 2nd choice.

  10. matt Avatar
    matt

    DDD, thanks for all of the expert advice and great content you’ve provided here this season. Great thanks!

  11. matt Avatar
    matt

    Almost forgot:
    They’re expecting snow for the Arizona-NE game. How should owners play the game out? I own Kurt and Larry Fitzgerald in separate leagues, with M. Ryan as my backup and Lance Moore as my best option behind Fitz.
    It’s a tough scenario given that both my opponents have Drew Brees, who will play inside a dome against the Washington Generals.
    Lastly, does LT find the end zone this week? He’s actually not worthless in my league because we count .5 a reception.

  12. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Matt – No problem man. Glad to help.

    I’d probably stick with the Zona guys, especially Fitz. I could see making the change to M. Ryan tho. The two others probably are a bit safer actually.

    I doubt LT scores – TB’s run defense is tough. I’d try to bench LT if there are any decent alternatives.

  13. Wright, Most the Time Says Avatar
    Wright, Most the Time Says

    DDD – I turned my college pick’em in yesterday. I am fired up for Saturday’s first bowl game. Not that the game means anything. Post your picks online when you’re done.

  14. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    All right good deal. I’ll post em.

  15. matt Avatar
    matt

    My four backs in this particular league are Pierre, LT, Jamal and McFadden….I guess Pierre and D-Mac?

  16. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    McFadden comes with some risk since his touches have been so erratic, but after last week’s performance and Cable getting killed in the media all week for not using him enough, I expect him to get the ball in a plus matchup. That said, LT and Lewis are probably safer. McFadden more upside. Don’t even think about sitting Pierre.

  17. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    What a brutal Jax loss ATS. Give me a break.

  18. Wright, Most the Time Avatar
    Wright, Most the Time

    I gotta like that Colts win to start off my week.

  19. Wright, Most the Time Avatar
    Wright, Most the Time

    Dalton, where are you picks?

  20. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    I turned them in today – don’t worry. I’m an idiot and didn’t copy them first. We’ll get an email soon of everyone’s picks and I’ll post them then. Before I made some switches I did keep a record of my 34-22, which were:

    USC 34
    South Florida 33
    Missouri 32
    Central Michigan 31
    Cal 30
    Kansas 29
    Alabama 28
    Florida St. 27
    Texas 26
    Rutgers 25
    Georgia 24
    Iowa 23
    Texas Tech 22

    I think I might have made Florida #21, which is way against your pick. Again, I’ll repost once I get my full picks sent to me. Also, I haven’t watched one single college football game from beginning to end this year. Don’t follow the sport whatsoever. But this should still be fun. And I do plan on beating you nevertheless.

  21. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    USC 34
    South Florida 33
    Missouri 32
    Central Michigan 31
    Cal 30
    Kansas 29
    Alabama 28
    Florida St. 27
    Texas 26
    Rutgers 25
    Georgia 24
    Iowa 23
    Texas Tech 22
    Florida 21
    Connecticut 20
    Virginia Tech 19
    Ball St. 18
    Notre Dame 17
    Northern Illinois 16
    Arizona 15
    Wake Forest 14
    Boston College 13
    Oregon St. 12
    Georgia Tech. 11
    Troy 10
    Fresno St. 9
    Kentucky 8
    Clemson 7
    TCU 6
    UNC 5
    Maryland 4
    OSU 3
    Air Force 2
    Western Michigan 1

  22. Wright, Most the Time Says Avatar
    Wright, Most the Time Says

    8-7 going into Monday night. I started off good until the Sunday afternoon games. 2-1 for the week on my stone cold locks. Big D, what happed? 3-12 going into Monday night? At least you won your best bet.

  23. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    B. Wright – I blame you for jinxing me since you’ve started posting your picks. What a joke. Worst week ever. Oh well. It happens. It’s all about how someone does over a big sample size. Weeks like this happen (although extremely frustrating). And even my “best bet” was an extremely lucky cover to boot. Horrible way to finish the year, so I need to come correct Week 17. Anyway, you’ve been solid over the past two weeks – you should post yours all next year.

    On a side yet related note, that BYU/Arizona game was a pretty big swing for us, eh???

  24. Jaundalynn Avatar

    Too many coepnimmlts too little space, thanks!

  25. home insurance best deals Avatar

    Umm, are you really just giving this info out for nothing?

  26. prozac Avatar

    Your article perfectly shows what I needed to know, thanks!

  27. life innsurnce Avatar

    You’ve hit the ball out the park! Incredible!

  28. include hypotension Avatar

    Apparently this is what the esteemed Willis was talkin’ ’bout.

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