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Bet on It

By Dalton Del Don

Last week I went 9-7, bringing my season total to 112-91-5. I lost my best bet for the second straight week, yet the two others I specifically recommended came through. My record there stands at 8-4-2. Oh well. Serves me right for going against the force that is the San Francisco 49ers. I need to stop taking road favorites there. Not an easy slate this week by any means, and I must be insane giving that many points in the Colts game. I had an especially difficult time with the Raiders/Patriots matchup, and is there any team in the league that switches from 7-plus point favorites to 7-plus point underdogs as much as the Broncos? The teams I feel most comfortable backing are the Packers (my second best bet), 49ers and Ravens. As for the Cowboys, their losses in the secondary hurt, but can New York’s passing game take advantage? Tony Romo should bounce back with a big effort at home, and Dallas simply needs a win more than the Giants.

Saints +3 at Bears

Buccaneers +2.5 at Falcons

Redskins -7 at Bengals

Titans -3 at Houston

Lions +17.5 at Colts

Packers -1.5 at Jaguars

Chargers -5.5 at Chiefs

49ers +7 at Dolphins

Bills +8 at Jets

Seahawks -3 at Rams

Vikings +3 at Cardinals

Steelers +1.5 at Ravens

Broncos +7.5 at Panthers

Patriots -7.5 at Raiders

Giants +2.5 at Cowboys (best bet)

Browns +14 at Eagles

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17 responses to “Bet on It”

  1. RotoFever Avatar
    RotoFever

    Having trouble with Giants/Dallas. Initially leaned Giants as my best bet. Reasons:

    1. Coughlin isn’t the type of coach to let his team ease up and I can’t see the Giants liking the idea of not taking this game seriously against a hated division rival on national tv with home field still up for grabs.

    2. Romo sucks in December. Is it the pressure or is it the weather? If its the weather, it helps that this game is in Dallas (62 degrees). Or does it? Those are 21 mph winds. Not so sure that Dallas will be able to take advantage of the Giants secondary. Then again, might not be an issue since the Giants pass rush might not give Romo much time.

    I could definitely see this falling to Dallas but I’m not confident either way with Jacobs and Barber questionable. Too much going on here.

  2. db Avatar
    db

    so, rankings question, sorry… I know it doesn’t belong here, but I have to decide on Colston for tonight for the playoffs…

    Roll the dice on Colston (he’s been up and down) or take the safe play in Bowe vs. SD.

    My opponent is my sworn hated enemy in our league and he’s got some killer matchups (DeAngelo, MJD) so I’m slightly leaning towards going for the home run with Colston… yes, there has been plenty of trash talk going back and forth so I need to back my talk up and take this loser down…

  3. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    RotoFever – I hear you. I don’t feel confident going against the Giants, who have been the NFL’s best team this season. But with no Plaxico or Jacobs, and possibly no Hixon, this offense is easier to defend. Dallas’ pass rush is underrated. Romo will have a huge game this week.

    That said, maybe just avoiding this game as your “best bet” is the way to go.

  4. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    db – Hmm. That’s tough. Colston was actually closer to having a big game last week than the final numbers showed. But it could be rough conditions tonight, and I expect KC/SD to be a shootout. I’d personally go with Bowe, but it’s close enough I’d recommend going with your own gut. Better to lose b/c of yourself than someone else.

  5. RotoFever Avatar
    RotoFever

    Spread is 3.5 in my pool. Still like Dallas on the other side of 3 pts?

  6. Dreamweapon Avatar
    Dreamweapon

    Watching tonight’s preview on the NFL network, I’m tempted to ask: in forty years’ time, what is the spread on the number of Chris Collinsworth’s liver spots vs. the number of stars in the Small Magellanic Cloud?

  7. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    RotoFever – Ya I try not to let .5 points sway me, so yes still Dallas. That said, it’s certainly an important difference, so I do like them less. Wouldn’t make it best bet, that’s for sure.

  8. Wright, Most the Time Avatar
    Wright, Most the Time

    Wright Picks:
    Falcons -2.5
    Redskins -7
    Titans -3
    Colts -17.5
    Jags +1.5
    Chargers -5.5
    49ers +7
    Jets -8
    Seahawks -3
    Vikings +3
    Steelers +1.5
    Panthers -7.5
    Patriots -7.5
    Cowboys -2.5
    Browns +14

  9. Wright, Most the Time Avatar
    Wright, Most the Time

    8-5-1 without Thursday and Monday

  10. Wright, Most the Time Avatar
    Wright, Most the Time

    College Bowl Pick’em (Rank 34 for valuable game)
    Wake Forest 4
    Fresno St. 11
    South Florida 21
    BYU 31
    Troy 23
    Boise St. 32
    Hawaii 13
    Central Michigan 16
    W. Virginia 8
    Florida St. 27
    Cal 17
    LA Tech 7
    Rutgers 14
    Missouri 30
    Maryland 15
    Oklahoma St. 29
    Rice 18
    Air Force 22
    Pittsburgh 12
    Boston College 25
    Minnesota 3
    LSU 2
    Iowa 19
    Georgia 26
    Clemson 5
    USC 34
    Virginia Tech 6
    Texas Tech 28
    East Carolina 20
    Alabama 24
    Connecticut 10
    Texas 33
    Tulsa 9
    Oklahoma 1

  11. RotoFever Avatar
    RotoFever

    Still holding on to first place (4 game lead right now). 138 right for the season. Gotta avoid the choke.

  12. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    B. Wright – Of course, the week we pick against each other just happens to be my worst week of the year. Figures. Anyway, nice job, although to be honest I don’t remember your picks exactly, and you posted these after the fact, but I guess you deserve the benefit of the doubt.

    And why are you revealing your college pool picks??! I’m purposefully not looking at your list until I’m finished with mine.

  13. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    RotoFever – Nice. At least I got the Cowboys right this week!

  14. Wright, Most the Time Says Avatar
    Wright, Most the Time Says

    I thought you told me to post the college picks online. You should glance at mine if you want to compete. I have a strong feeling about my picks. Also, I know it looks bad when I posted my picks after the fact for week 15. I wrote down our opposite picks and copied the others. I’m make sure to post my picks by Thursday for week 16.

  15. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    B. Wright – I was just giving you a hard time about posting them after the fact – I’m sure they were legit. But ya, bring it early next week.

  16. Avatar
    Anonymous

    Hope you both bring it sometime tonight because I’m two weeks away from winning this thing (25 person pool) and all I have to do is not choke.

  17. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    I’ll post it by tonight for sure.

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