The Scoop

By Dalton Del Don

I didn’t aggressively pursue Chad Billingsley in drafts this year because I felt his command left him still a ways off from dominance, but after another 3.5 months of seasoning, it’s time to start treating him as an elite starter. His control still comes and goes, but Billingsley’s 9.81 K/9 IP mark is the best in baseball. Over his last five starts, he has a 2.45 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP with a 38:11 K:BB ratio. He’s going to win a Cy Young someday.

Ian Stewart isn’t a bad pickup in medium-deeper sized leagues. He’s currently hitting toward the bottom of the Rockies’ lineup, but he should see significant playing time with Todd Helton sidelined, and it sounds like that could be for a while. Still just 23 years old, Stewart had 19 homers and slugged .607 in Triple-A this season, and he obviously has the benefit of Coors Field on his side. He’s even eligible at second base in some leagues (Yahoo).

Josh Johnson is going to be inconsistent during his first season back from Tommy John surgery, but he’s a must-add in most leagues anyway. Showing terrific promise before getting injured during his rookie season, Johnson is now reaching 96-97 mph on the radar gun. It’s not that the actual Tommy John procedure adds to your fastball, it’s just that pitchers returning from it are finally throwing at 100 percent, and even though he wasn’t considered injured during the first part of that 2006 season, like all pitchers, his arm had some wear and tear. Now, it’s back to being fresh. The added velocity makes Johnson someone to watch moving forward.

Speaking of injured arms, I’m curious to see if the time off did Ian Snell any good. His numbers haven’t shown any improvement during three starts since coming off the DL, but he claims he’s feeling the best he has all season. His .367 BABIP is the second highest mark in all of baseball, so maybe some correction is due. However, his 5.20 BB/9 IP mark is the very worst in baseball, so he’ll need to also drastically improve his command for it to happen. Snell’s probably more hurt than he’s letting on.

Free Dallas McPherson! The guy leads professional baseball with 32 homers, and he’s also chipped in 12 steals as well. He has a career .972 OPS in 2,139 minor league at-bats. Jorge Cantu obviously deserves to stay in Florida’s lineup, but the Marlins should be selling Mike Jacobs, or some other team should be after McPherson. Of course, the Giants could have had him for free before the season started but instead elected for Jose Castillo, whose defense might actually be worse than his career .300 OBP.

Speaking of the Giants and ineptitude, Bruce Bochy’s recent handling of Tim Lincecum was beyond deplorable. Making his first start after being hospitalized, Bochy brought Lincecum back out for the seventh inning Sunday even though he was approaching 110 pitches already and left him in to rack up a total of 121 – the second most of his career. This wouldn’t even make sense in a pennant race, but given the fact SF is rebuilding, this decision was as insane as Scientology.

Last Giants rant – I promise. Over 157 at-bats this season, Omar Vizquel has four extra-base hits. Four! His .191 slugging percentage is dead last in major league baseball by a mile.

How good is Scott Baker? Over his last four starts, he’s posted a 24:3 K:BB ratio and nearly hurled a perfect game. His 5.07:1 K:BB ratio is the third best mark in the game.

Imagine how bad Homer Bailey would be if he wasn’t so lucky. He has a 6.29 ERA yet a .260 BABIP in the bigs this season. Since he’s also struggled in the minors all year, it’s long past time to start seriously worrying about his future. The loss in velocity is a big deal, evidenced by his 3.33 K/9 IP mark. He’s also done his first name proud, serving up 2.96 HR/9 IP.

It’s too late (or improbable) to sell Todd Wellemeyer in most leagues, but he might cease being useful even in NL-only versions soon enough. One of baseball’s best surprises over the first two months, Wellemeyer simply wore down, as he had never thrown even 90 innings in a season before this year. He hasn’t struck out more than three batters in any of his past six outings and is throwing less and less in between starts, as his arm gets increasingly sore. Soon, he’s not going to throw any side sessions at all. He’s not lasting the season.

Despite a career 2.86 ERA, Huston Street has converted 78 percent of his save opportunities. To put that in perspective, Brian Wilson currently sports a 4.93 ERA but has successfully converted 93 percent of his save chances. Closers are a weird beast.


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8 responses to “The Scoop”

  1. Robby Avatar
    Robby

    Harden’s K rate is much better and Kazmir’s is slightly better. I guess 89/90 IPs aren’t enough to qualify..

  2. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Ya, it’s 99 innings to qualify right now. It’s one inning per game played, and most teams have played 99 games so far.

    But your point is well taken. Those guys are plenty impressive and will qualify soon enough.

  3. Brett Avatar

    DDD,

    Welcome back. I agree with the mishandling of Lincecum. You’ve got to be kidding me sending him back out there for the 7th.

    Thoughts on the Rauch trade? Does he or Lyon close? Who closes for the Nats?

  4. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Thanks Brett. I’d guess Zona sticks with the incumbent for now in Lyon, but Rauch will emerge as the superior option soon enough and get more saves over the rest of the season.

    I’m going with Joel Hanrahan as Washington’s closer.

  5. Brett Avatar

    After watching the game tonight, Melvin stated that Lyon would take the 9th, Rauch the 8th, Pena the 7th and Qualls the 6th.

    I’m going with Hanrahan. Bowden wants to see if he’s got what it takes the be the closer.

  6. Dreamweapon Avatar
    Dreamweapon

    Jesus, how many relievers does AZ need? Won’t they please send Juan Cruz to the Brewers for a bag of balls? They don’t need him anymore. Nelson Cruz, baby! He rocks!

    Love Josh Johnson’s prospects–I actually nabbed him about a month ago on a stash and follow, but had to jettison him in order to clear space due to mounting injuries. At least I got to hold onto him in another league [g]. Speaking of young FLA pitching salvage projects, any thoughts on Anibal Sanchez? I didn’t like his game as much as JJ’s back in ’06, but on the other hand, he wasn’t exactly chopped liver either.

    Also loving Baker, though he’s almost as bad as Matt “Snakebit” Cain when it comes to bringing home the Ws, for similar reasons. He’s awesome in H2H because he simply does not have bad games, only pretty good, or really good, making him a fantastic back-of-the-rotation stabilizer. Well, that was his price, anyway; in actuality he’s basically a must-start option at this point. As long as Liriano remains in bondage, Baker is the acting ace of that staff.

    Speaking of the Twins and Liriano, aren’t they cutting off their nose to spite their face at this point? They’re miraculously in the thick of a playoff chase, but their peripheral #s don’t match the Sox’, not even close, and Fat Miggy, Verlander and co. are starting to stir. If they don’t want to make the obvious move and pick up Adrian Beltre, fine, but for the love of god, at least bring back F-Bomb. Every five days, he destroys another Triple-A lineup, while Livan shits the bed worse than Spud in ‘Trainspotting’. It’s like they’re purposely fighting with one hand behind their back. I think Bill Smith needs to lay off the Purple Drank.

  7. Donald Trump Avatar
    Donald Trump

    What the Giants are doing to Lincecum is bordering on criminal.

  8. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Dreamweapon – Sorry for the slow response. My assessment of A. Sanchez is about the same as yours. A little less interesting than J. Johnson but someone to keep your eye on. More so in 2009.

    The Twins are being cheap holding Liriano back to keep him from being a super two player, but that deadline will soon (or has) passed. Who cares how much $ L. Hernandez is making? Get him out of there. My favorite part about them holding Liriano back now is this comes after they clearly rushed him before he was ready to start the year. Poorly run franchise.

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