The Scoop

By Dalton Del Don

I’m not sure if Joe Torre follows baseball all that closely. Forget the fact he’s playing the supremely inferior Juan Pierre over Matt Kemp, but why does Andre Ethier get automatically penciled into the lineup over Kemp as well? Sure, he’s better than Pierre and the current incarnation of Andruw Jones, but Ethier’s got a career OPS of .820 and was the inferior prospect to begin with. I just don’t get what’s going on in L.A.

Don’t look now, but Ervin Santana might be figuring things out. He’s off to a fine start, but even more encouraging is his work on the road, where he has posted a 9:3 K:BB ratio with a 1.08 WHIP in two outings, including one at hitter-friendly Ameriquest Field. Remember, he did record a 2.96 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 30 strikeouts over 27.1 innings during the final month of last season. Santana has to be owned in all fantasy leagues.

Since May ended last year, Chone Figgins is batting .379 with 43 steals. He’s also walking at a far greater rate so far this season, which is good news for his future stolen base totals. Despite offering very little in the power department, he’s a top-30 fantasy player.

Sticking with the Halos, Casey Kotchman currently looks like an All-Star. He’s a terrific defender, can hit both lefties and righties and has struck out a miniscule three times during his first 54 at-bats this year. While his upside was once considered limited because of his lack of power, Kotchman has already clobbered four homers and is slugging over .600. If he can stay healthy, he’ll finish the year as a sure-fire top-10 fantasy first baseman.

If you own Tony Pena waiting for the inevitable Brandon Lyon implosion, might as well make the switch to Chad Qualls if possible. His 8:6 K:BB ratio is ugly, but while both Lyon and Pena sport ERAs north of 7.0, Qualls has yet to allow a single run this season. He’s been a pretty effective pitcher throughout his career.

Hunter Pence looks lost at the plate right now. Fourteen strikeouts in 52 at-bats won’t get it done. He’s sure to turn it around but hitting sixth in Houston’s lineup only allows for so much fantasy value. Pence has now gone without a homer in his last 68 at-bats.

Rickie Weeks is hitting .213 on the season, but entering Tuesday night, he was on pace to finish the year with 41 homers and 54 steals with 176 runs scored. Imagine if he upped his average to the .225-.230 range!

Prince Fielder, Ryan Howard and David Ortiz are hitting a combined .171 (24-for-140) entering Tuesday. It’s hard not to make a connection to slow starts and body type here, but maybe there’s nothing to it.

Tickets to a Giants game: $33
Parking: $30
Polish dog, garlic fries and a beer: $20.75
Brian Sabean: Worthless

I was pretty aggressive with my FAAB this week on guys like Hong-Chih Kuo, Todd Wellemeyer and John Bowker. Patience is a virtue I apparently don’t posses, but I figure it’s better to overspend in April than to do it in August. Of course, it’s all in context, as these specific leagues are extremely deep – either an 18-team format where nearly all prospects are taken or an NL-only league.

Kuo’s stuff isn’t quite the same after two major arm surgeries, and he’ll probably be hurt by the time May rolls around, but anyone pitching in the NL West with a career 10.2 K/9 IP mark needs to be gambled on.

Wellemeyer, meanwhile, is flashing improved command and has struck out 7.9 batters per nine innings since coming to St. Louis last season. And if not for a hideous scoring change ruling a glaring error a hit three innings after the fact, his ERA would currently sit at 2.0 for the season, and that’s likely to improve with the Giants next up on the schedule.

Speaking of the Giants, Bowker has to be added in cavernous deep NL-only leagues. He hit .307 with 22 HRs and 90 RBI in a pitcher-friendly environment last year in Double-A and is second on the Giants in both home runs and RBI after playing two games for them. There’s currently not a starting spot open for Bowker, but between a banged up Aaron Rowand, middling options like Randy Winn and Fred Lewis and the fact he’s learning to play first base as well, Bowker could make an impact.


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24 responses to “The Scoop”

  1. Tyler Durden Avatar
    Tyler Durden

    Brian Sabean is polishing the brass on the Titanic. It’s all going down, man.

  2. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Ya he needs to be fired three years ago.

  3. Keith Avatar
    Keith

    I do have Kotchman in a dynasty league, and Conor Jackson in my money league…I really hope he breaks 15 HR’s. I’m pretty impressed with the Giants so far, really expected them to be much, much worse than this. If Sanchez can give them a gem every 4 or 5 games and the corpse of Barry Zito gets reanimated…well, they’ll still finish last, but at least it won’t be historic.

    I love watching no-name A’s win 5 straight on the road.

    In my keeper league (we keep 10 per year), I’ve been trying to upgrade my top-tier talent, as the top couple teams are pretty loaded. I got offered Hanley Ramirez and Manny Parra for Lincecum, Alex Gordon, and Berkman. It hurts me just to think about it, but I’m pretty loaded with pitching (King Felix, Kazmir, Brett Myers, McGowan, Greinke!, Bucholz, Kershaw, Cueto, Gallardo)…and Hanley is looking like da man (even though Gordon looks like he might break through). I really don’t want to give up those 3, but I’d really love Hanley….thoughts?

    The Warriors game pissed me off…I’m done with hoops. Considering I live like 3 miles from the Shark Tank, I should probably be paying more attention to that game they place on ice skates.

  4. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    First off, the Warriors drove me crazy too. The fact they lost that home game vs. Denver means they really don’t deserve to make the playoffs, it’s as simple as that. Not that it doesn’t bother me – that team is very talented and would be a top-4 seed in the East.

    I don’t follow hockey in the least bit, but when I heard 90 percent of the people I respect pick the Sharks to win it all, I’ve started paying attention. I’ve been to a couple of games there over the past few years (the only 2 NHL games I’ve watched during that span, including tv), so I do root for SJ. Big win tonight! Go Sharks!!!

    That deal is ridiculously tough for me to gage. On one hand, HRam looks like probably the No. 1 keeper property in all of baseball, and I really like Parra too. But Florida has such a bad team, Gordon is the real deal, and you know my love toward Lincecum. And while I will typically never draft a player like Berkman, he is pretty damn good, and it’s not like he’s 40. I really, really like HRam, but I’d probably reject this deal, mainly b/c I’m such a big believer in Gordon. If you really need steals and a MI, then it’s totally fine. But ultimately, as far as in a vacuum, I’d stand pat. You can trade excess pitching later on. Lincecum could easily be a top-10 fantasy player 2 years from now – and that’s with me being very aware of how dire the Giants franchise is.

  5. Donald Trump Avatar
    Donald Trump

    zero chance kotchman finishes as a top 10 1b.
    Who was it that posted on this site about drafting ricky weeks. I have to thank that guy, as I drafted him in both my leagues.
    PLease tell me that you are not spenging $80 to go to a giants game. Stay home and watch the baseball package.
    Seriously, is lyon the next closer to go? You would really stash qualls over pena?

  6. Donald Trump Avatar
    Donald Trump

    last night, pena pitched the 7th, qualls the 8th. I think that is a first.

  7. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Why is it a zero chance Kotchman finishes as top-10?

    I was big on Rickie Weeks but acknowledged the risk – “Dreamweapon” is the poster on here who loves the guy.

    I was given the tickets and a free ride to the Giants game, but that’s still too much.

  8. Paul R Avatar
    Paul R

    Supremely inferior Juan Pierre? Pierre is a lfetime .300 hitter and has averaged over 50 SBs per season. Kemp has yet to even play a full season in the big leagues. Joe Torre has more knowledge of baseball in his pinky than anybody on this site so dont go dissing him. Chad Qualls? I wouldn’t touch him with a 10 foot pole. Looks like that my man Derrek Lee is proving all the nay-sayers on here wrong.

  9. Donald Trump Avatar
    Donald Trump

    Casey kotchman will not be a top 10 1b, because he is casey cotchman.
    Kotchman>pierre.

  10. Dreamweapon Avatar
    Dreamweapon

    The Donald – haha, glad you came around on The Rickie. His Dunnesque AVG will never set the world ablaze, but four-cat megastuds at the MI positions are still gold, baby!

    Paul – Put down the paint thinner. Kemp “has yet to play a full season in the big leagues” because he’s all of 23 years old and has been saddled with horrific general and team management. That’s akin to saying Reggie Evans is a better forward than Marcus Beasley b/c Beasley hasn’t played a full season. In other words, purse sophistry. I don’t want to horn in on Doug Melvin’s action, but I feel comfortable stating here and now that my Brewers will HAPPILY send Mike Cameron and high draft pick to the Dodgers for Kemp, since he supposedly sucks so much. That would give Torre the aging, overrated, all-downside OF of his dreams, while a Braun/Hart/Kemp Milwaukee baby-faced OF could terrorize the NL Central for years to come. And I like Cameron, I do, but Matt Kemp is a 30/30-plus explosion looking for a place to detonate. His tools are in the Upton/Maybin class, and he’s already demonstrated an ability to make necessary adjustments–when he first came up he was easy pickings for any pitcher with even a half-assed breaking pitch; by his second abbreviated season he was clocking well over .300. Obviously the league’s scouts were onto him by that time and he was seeing more breaking stuff than ever, but he corrected his approach and began to shine.

    Pierre is shit. All he has is speed, that’s it. He can’t slug to save his life (and here is THE stat, my man: Matt Kemp has 50% more career HR than Juan Pierre already, despite having about 1/10th the career AB. In other words, holy shit Juan Pierre sucks); his arm is a complete wet noodle, making him an absolute liability in the field (anyone playing him in center or right would have to be trying to lose intentionally at this point, and even in left he’s bad, quite apart from his total inability to slug even a fraction of the amount required from a corner OF), and he has plate discipline about on par with Pedro “Brain-dead Caribbean Hitters Swinging at Slop Nightly” Feliz.

    Juan Pierre is a below-average baseball player. He is a bad fielder and a horrible hitter, period. His .300 AVG is supremely hollow as its backed by a putrid OBP and SLG. The numbers provide no room for debate on this score. Yes, he is a plus baserunner. How that makes him worthy of a starting spot over a guy like Kemp, who has the ability to turn a game with a single stroke, is far beyond me.

  11. Dreamweapon Avatar
    Dreamweapon

    Also, as a fellow Cain and Lincecum owner, if Bowker isn’t inserted into the lineup over Aurilia on a permanent basis by this weekend, Bochy should be dragged out into the street and shot.

  12. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Paul – I wouldn’t talk about baseball knowledge and then immediately follow that up with largely worthless stats like batting average and stolen bases. Joe Torre is an idiot. Last season Pierre had a .331 on base percentage and a .353 slugging percentage. He also has one of the worst arms in the game and got caught stealing 15 times. Add it all up, and you’re looking at one of the very worst position players in all of baseball.

    Derrek Lee is definitely proving me wrong.

  13. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Dreamweapon – I forgot about that “brain-dead caribbean hitter” comment – good times. Bowker has simply got to play over someone like Aurilia. Or even Randy Winn for that matter. I have very little faith in Bochy, however. Still, that team needs any sort of pick me up, so his hot start might give him an opportunity.

  14. Keith Avatar
    Keith

    I don’t think you’ve ever had to ban somebody, but anyone who sings the praises of Pierre at least warrants consideration. I should find the recent article that credits Torre as the worst manager in the recent era (based on objective analysis mind you…Bobby Cox came out #1).

    Thanks for the response on my stressing offer. I’m countering with a simple Gallardo for Lincecum swap, as I’d really like to keep Lincecum in one keeper league.

  15. Eddie Avatar

    Just at first glance, would you accept a deal that sent you Billy Butler and Longoria for Greinke?

  16. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Interesting that Bobby Cox came in at No. 1. Completely unsurprising where Torre ranked.

  17. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    ABSOLUTELY. Love Greinke, but I’d do that deal five minutes ago. I’d do it in a redraft league too, but if this is a keeper-league, it’s highway robbery.

  18. The Jewru Avatar
    The Jewru

    Kotchman was regarded as the best hitter in the minors 5 years ago. He is just 25, he seems to have figured out how to pull the ball for power. I think there is a very real chance he finishes in the top 10 at 1B. Trump I think you should do more research into what the scouts have always felt about Kotchman. Sometimes it takes a little bit more time to bloom. Like Chase Utley.

  19. Walt Weiss Avatar
    Walt Weiss

    If Joe Torre knew anything about baseball, he would not work for the Dodgers. They suck. ’88 was a fluke, and without Kirk Gibson, they have nothing.

  20. Dreamweapon Avatar
    Dreamweapon

    Why don’t the Giants make a move for Matt Murton? It’s obvious by now that the Cubs hate him and will never give him a fair shake, and they even have admitted recently that they’ve been mistreating him and probably cost him a fortune in future earnings. They seem willing to make amends by moving him someplace where he could play regularly. I have to imagine the Giants could find room for a guy with the ability to post an OPS in the mid-.800s….

  21. Dreamweapon Avatar
    Dreamweapon

    Weiss, settle down. I love Kirk Gibson more than anyone you will ever meet, in all probability (believe me–more than even Larry Legend or John Riggins he was my childhood hero), but they still wailed on the A’s that Series apart from his one at-bat. LaSorda was just plain brilliant that year, and their pitching was near-miraculous. Remember, they had almost nothing in terms of bats (Marshall and Sax were also dinged) and they still took it easily. The A’s were too young, they just weren’t ready for the big stage. And frankly, I think a case can be made that the Dodgers win over the Mets in the NLCS was more impressive anyway, as from what I recall almost no one gave them a chance. I think they probably would have won that Series regardless of Gibson’s heroics, not that I would sacrifice them for all the world, of course.

  22. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    The Giants should go after guys exactly like Murton – there are plenty of them out there. Would it really be that hard to pry Anthony Reyes from the Cards? He’s pitching in middle relief for crying out loud. Dan Johnson, Dallas McPherson, it goes on and on, but instead Sabean brings in Jose Castillo. I’m starting a fire Brian Sabean campaign and I hope you help preach the cause.

  23. gordonjer Avatar
    gordonjer

    there was an interesting article saying that Torre loves the professionals, that work hard, try hard, and set a good example in the clubhouse and that this was the reason Cashman ws not going to bring back Bernie Williams under any circumstances last year under Torre. Knowing full well that he’d play Bernie every chance he got and would let Melky languish on the bench.
    Pierre = Bernie

  24. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Interesting. I can totally believe that. Smart move by Cashman.

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