The Scoop

By Dalton Del Don – Senior Writer

I’m still undecided about Daisuke Matsuzaka. On one hand, he flashed a dominant strikeout rate (8.9K/9 IP) and his second half fade can be blamed on fatigue, since his workload was so different from Japan. On the other hand, Dice-K’s control (3.5 BB/9 IP) was a major problem, as was his proneness to the long ball. And maybe the second half fade was because the hitters adjusted to him. Ultimately, there’s upside here, and I’d guess he shows improvement this season – he’s still just 27 years old. However, his price tag is typically higher than I’m willing to spend.

I’m strongly advocating drafting Carlos Marmol this season. Theoretically, he should come rather cheap, since Bobby Howry has been named the early favorite to close in Chicago, and Kerry Wood is around to contend with. The Cubs probably want Wood to emerge as the ninth inning guy, and when healthy, there’s no denying his stuff is filthy, as the kids like to say. Of course, Wood is almost certain to get hurt. And then there’s Marmol, and all he did was strike out 96 batters over 69.1 innings last season. The 1.43 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and .169 batting average against weren’t too bad either. He has the upside of a top-5 fantasy closer.

Randy Johnson is 44 years old and unlikely to throw more than 140 innings this season. Still, with the possibility that back surgery brings improved health, I can’t help but recommend gambling on his upside, which is still apparent. Pitching in the NL West helps, and his numbers from 2007 suggest there’s still something left in the tank. In 17.2 road innings last year, the Big Unit posted an absolutely ridiculous 25:0 K:BB ratio with a 0.51 WHIP. Plus, he’s typically coming very cheap in fantasy leagues right now.

The most frustrating part about the Roger Clemens congress fiasco was the clear partisan lines that were being drawn. I’m not saying either Clemens or Brian McNamee was right, but I am saying the way the republicans attacked only McNamee was wrong.

You’ll have a hard time finding a cheaper source for power than Jim Thome. Sure, he’s injury-prone, only available at DH and 37 years old, but he’s also smacked 72 homers over his last 922 at-bats. He gets to hit in one of the most homer-friendly stadiums in baseball, and the White Sox lineup should be much improved this season as well. He hit 12 bombs during September of last year, so he’s not finished being a major asset in the power department.

Dalton’s bold prediction: Andrew Bynum doesn’t play another NBA basketball game this season.

I’m letting someone else draft Dan Haren. Brett from “Greener on the Other Side” talked about how he recently joined the 3500-pitch club, which usually results in a drop off in production soon thereafter. But more than that, think about Billy Beane’s track record when it comes to trading starting pitchers to the National League. Other than Tim Hudson’s 2007 campaign, he and fellow former A’s hurlers Mark Mulder and Barry Zito have pitched six combined seasons since leaving Oakland – and every one of them have qualified as worse than any of their previous seasons in Green and Gold, which is pretty remarkable. Zito wasn’t traded, of course, but Beane wore him out before letting him walk all the same. People worry about Haren leaving a pitcher’s park to a hitter’s haven. I worry about why Beane decided to trade him with so many years left before free agency. Actually, I already know the answer.

Top-5 Robert De Niro Movies

1. Taxi Driver
2. The Godfather: Part II
3. Raging Bull
4. Goodfellas
5. Casino

Top-5 Al Pacino Movies

1. The Godfather
2. The Godfather: Part II
3. Scarface
4. Scent of a Woman
5. Carlito’s Way


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18 responses to “The Scoop”

  1. Keith Avatar
    Keith

    Heat should have been in there, fo sho. I never understood why that movie didn’t get more love at the time.

    I hope to end up with Marmol on just about all of my teams this year. Got him in a holds league last year, and was blown away by the numbers he put up.

    I’ll pass on Dice-K, not because I don’t believe in the talent, but just because he’ll be overvalued like you said. I think there are a lot of pitching bargains to be found around the 10th round or so this year, and don’t really feel like reaching for someone I’ve got serious questions about.

  2. Paul R Avatar
    Paul R

    I tried to watch “Scent of a Woman” a couple of times but I kept losing interest in it so I never really saw the whole movie. I guess I like more action-packed films and I agree with Dreamweapon that “Heat” was really good. A couple Pacino classics are “Dog Day Afternoon” and “Serpico” which both are close to top 5 also.

  3. Tyler Durden Avatar
    Tyler Durden

    Great job on baseball stuff.

    Good job on the movie list, but:

    De Niro: hard to do a Top 5 as, as far as performances by Boddy D, I am also very high on Midnight Run, Cape Fear, Mean Streets and the aforementioned Heat.

    Pacino: Stench Of A Woman has to go. Replace with any of the following: the aforementioned Heat, Glengarry Glen Ross or The Insider. Also: call me crazy but Serpico is not a good film — it has not stood the test of time and plays like a hodgepodge of confusing and incomplete scenes.

  4. Dreamweapon Avatar
    Dreamweapon

    PS: I completely agree about Haren. I never really viewed him as an ace to begin with (what exactly is this popular notion based upon? Maybe I’m a dumbass, but he seems like a rich man’s Kevin Millwood to me), and I look at his year last year as more of an aberration than a matter of him reaching the next level. His division will help him some, but he still plays half his games in Phoenix, at altitude, where the ball carries, in a small park. One of the more usually astute owners in my mixed keeper league is holding Haren over options such as Hafner and Manny. His apparent determination to hamstring his team from the get-go thrills me to no end.

  5. Paul R Avatar
    Paul R

    Marmol does have great stuff but he usually is good to use for 2 or 3 innings a game, which is probably why the Cubs will rather go with Howry or Wood in the closer role this year.

  6. Tyler Durden Avatar
    Tyler Durden

    GGR inspired one of my favorite phrases I now utilize in fantasy baseball: “Closers are for coffee!”

    I do not know what it means in the scheme of things (I guess it says “A.B.C.” “Always. Bide. Closers.”), but I do say it often while drafting.

    (bide, of course, means wait — ‘always wait on closers’)

  7. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    In my defense, I completely forgot about “Heat.” I would have put that on their for sure, so I’m with you guys there. Big Michael Mann fan. So the same goes for “The Insider” too.

    Not sure I’ve even seen Glengarry Glen Ross. And speaking of not standing the test of time, I caught “Cape Fear” on cable the other day and it wasn’t quite the classic I remembered. Still, De Niro’s performance is terrific.

    And I guess I deserve some shit for “Scent of a Woman.” HoHah! Chris O’Donnell is pretty bad. But how classic is that ending? You’re out of order!!

  8. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Haren’s BABIP last year was unreal too. He might not fall off a cliff immediately, but I think I’ll side with Beane here.

    Dreamweapon brings up a good point about hitter’s parks. It’s not always dimensions. Sometimes it’s altitude and how the ball carries (D-Backs almost always have the roof closed in the hot summer). But also with Chase Field, the back drop for some reason is very conducive to hitting. Batters say they can pick up the ball better there than any other park in the league. Weird reason to be a hitter’s park, but so is the case.

  9. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Paul – Great point. Hurlers who can go 2-3 innings at a time are more valuable in a middle relief role. Something to think about.

    Sometimes the role of a closer is the easiest of all relievers (beside specialists), b/c they almost always enter with no base runners on and needing just 3 outs. Of course, there’s the added “pressure,” which may or may not be a factor.

  10. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Tyler Durden – I use the same rule. Sometimes I wait until after the draft is over.

  11. Dreamweapon Avatar
    Dreamweapon

    OMFG–If you had seen ‘GGR’ you would remember it, for this scene alone:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TROhlThs9qY

    Maybe now the Eldorado/steak knives reference will make sense.

    Written by David Mamet, who has done some fantastic shit, e.g. ‘Spanish Prisoner’ (Steve Martin’s only good performance in the last twenty years), ‘The Winslow Boy’, ‘Ronin’, and ‘The Verdict’. And ‘The Untouchables’, which I actually didn’t like, but oh well. Mamet is actually friends with the mom of a buddy/leaguemate of mine–small world.

  12. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Of course I know Mamet. Do you have some inside connections or what?

  13. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    I get the reference now.

  14. Robby Avatar
    Robby

    Devil’s Advocate!

  15. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Ya, at minimum that at least deserves to be in the conversation.

  16. Dreamweapon Avatar
    Dreamweapon

    Oh no, nothing like that, he’s just a family friend of a buddy of mine, I’ve never met him myself or anything (although my buddy did have a small part in a play Mamet put on in Chicago some years back).

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