Market Watch

By Dalton Del Don – Senior Writer

As early as it is, it’s never too soon to be working the phones and trying to hammer out deals. One good game can make that target of yours who is hitting .230 all of a sudden a .300 hitter, so act now.

Sell High

Akinori Iwamura – He flashes skills with the glove and is currently batting a cool .500 on the year. Not only does he have two stolen bases so far, he’s also been caught once as well, so he’s certainly trying to reach his spring prediction of 40 steals. Hitting at the bottom of Tampa Bay’s order, however, will suppress his counting stats. Also, the power he displayed in Japan is highly unlikely to translate here in the states, so don’t expect anything more than 18-20 homers. If he keeps maintaining this plate discipline, there’s no doubt he could hit .290-.300, and if he does contribute 20 steals, he’d be a top-10 third basemen, so don’t give him away. Just see how much that 1.300 OPS can net you right now.

Don’t Sell High

Miguel Cabrera – Here are Cabrera’s OPSs for the first four years of his career: .793, .879, .947, .998 – see a trend? He’s also decreased his strikeouts and increased his walks each campaign as well. The lack of home runs last year was nothing more than a fluke, as he also clubbed 50 doubles. Do you realize that he’s 23 years old? The only reason I wasn’t higher on Cabrera entering the year was because third base was so deep, but there’s at least a decent chance that he enters next season at the very top of many drafts boards.

Buy Low

Brett Myers – Pitching in Philly figures to mean homers will be a problem, but Myers’ ability to miss bats should curtail that somewhat. Currently sitting with a 6.75 ERA after last season’s so-so 3.90 mark, it’s possible Myers’ owner doesn’t realize what he has in the young ace. He posted a tiny 1.17 WHIP with 107 punch outs over 100 second half innings last year. He’s already struck out 15 over 12 innings this season. Since he also doesn’t walk many batters, a much lower ERA is sure to follow. With the potent Phillies’ lineup behind him, a strong win total should be attainable as well. Go get him.

Don’t Buy Low

Chris Carpenter
– This may seem Captain Obvious, but as a fellow Carpenter owner, I’m officially a couple of steps beyond worried. Arthritis in his elbow? I’m no doctor, but I did stay at a Holliday Inn Express last night, and I don’t like the sound of that. Even though the recent MRI result is supposedly moderate to good news, be afraid. If you can get Brett Myers for him, do it.


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6 responses to “Market Watch”

  1. Lister Avatar
    Lister

    Hey Rotoscoop. Now that Wheeler is officially closing for Team Biggio-Everett, where would you rank him as a fantasy closer?

  2. sir boss hog outlaw III Avatar
    sir boss hog outlaw III

    Rawb and Dalton…you both picked my first round pick, cabrera, as the worst pick of the first round in our draft…now admiting that he might be a number one pick next year wouldn’t that mean a late first round pick on him this year is getting value??? do you still think it was the worst pick in the first round?? I understand your arguement for position scarcity, but Rawb doesn’t even believe in that…anyways I’ve never stayed at a Holiday in Express before so what do I know

  3. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Lister – If you listen to Phil Garner, he really, really wants Lidge as his closer. I think Wheeler can be effective in the role, but it’s obviously not great that he was hit hard today. Lidge was warming up in the bullpen to replace him, by the way.

    I think if Lidge gets it together, Garner turns back to him for sure, but that’s a big if admittedly – he’s just not a very good pitcher right now. Wheeler’s 137/44 K/BB ratio over 144 2/3 innings during the last two seasons is very solid, and I think he can keep it up.

    I’d rank him in the 20-25 range right now, since his job is still so tenuous. He’d be a better pick up than Jorge Julio, however.

  4. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    sir boss hog – Here’s what I said after our draft:

    “Worst Pick: Hard to go wrong here, but third base is a pretty deep position to take this early. That said, I think Cabrera is going to have a huge season.”

    Hardly a diss. Yes, I am admitting now that you got good value.

  5. 5150bosox Avatar
    5150bosox

    i give carpenter 2 1/2 years at the most and then he will have to retire. Ask sandy koufax how things went for him after he had the same issues.

  6. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    I didn’t realize Koufax had similar issues that made him retire. Interesting. My odds of Carpenter having to undergo surgery for this is 65/35 right now, and I may be too low.

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